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RD 4 Add:
12:10 PM ET English -130 over Kodaira 2.5pts
12:20 PM ET Laird -125 over Johnston 2.5pts
12:40 PM ET Grace -105 over Kuchar 3.5pts
1:30 PM ET Furyk +115 over Z Johnson 3pts
2:20 PM ET Oosthuizen +110 over Matsuyama 2.5pts
2:30 PM ET Holmes +100 over Steele 2.5pts
2:50 PM ET Snedeker -125 over Steele 3.5pts
3:30 PM ET Koepka -150 over SW Kim 3pts
3:30 PM ET Fowler -130 over Thomas 3pts
3:40 PM ET Fleetwood -120 over Harman 3pts
5Dimes
That's it, Happy Fathers Day to all the fathers. RD 4 Add:
11:40 AM ET Brehm +140 over Na 2.5pts
5Dimes
More coming. RD 4:
10:35 AM ET Spieth -185 over Bradley 3pts
5Dimes
More coming RD 3 Final Add:
1:00 PM ET Thomas +105 over Garcia 2.5pts
1:10 PM ET Kaymer -125 over Hadwin 3pts
1:50 PM ET Hoffman -130 over McGirt 3pts
2:30 PM ET Fowler -115 over Matsuyama 3pts
2:50 PM ET Lovemark +110 over Holmes 2.5pts
3:10 PM ET Fleetwood -110 over Harman 3pts
5Dimes RD 3 Add:
11:15 AM ET Cink -130 over Furyk 2.5pts
5Dimes
More to come RD 3:
10:43 AM ET Spieth -160 over Kisner 3pts
5Dimes
More coming RD 2 Add: 1:25 PM ET Noren -105 over Snedeker 3pts 3:00 PM ET Kisner -120 over Grace 3pts 3:00 PM ET Kuchar -115 over Molinari 2.5pts 3:20 PM ET D Johnson -130 over Spieth 2.5pts 5Dimes RD 2:
8:20 AM ET Leishman -135 over Perez 2.5pts
8:50 AM ET Berger -120 over Haas 2pts
9:00 AM ET Grillo +115 over Hadwin 2.5pts 9:10 AM ET Lowry -165 over Piercy 3.5pts
9:20 AM ET Day +105 over McIlroy 2.5pts
5Dimes RD 1 Add: 2:10 PM ET Lishman -115 over Perez 2.5pts 2:30 PM ET Berger -140 over Haas 2 pts 2:40 PM ET Grillo -115 over Hadwin 2.5pts 2:50 PM ET Lowry -145 over Piercy 2.5pts 3:00 PM ET Day +105 over McIlroy 2.5pts 5Dimes RD 1:
8:40 AM ET Noren -120 over Snedeker 2.5pts
8:50 AM ET Koepka -135 over Pieters 2.5pts
9:20 AM ET Kisner -120 over Grace 3pts
9:30 AM ET D Johnson -120 over Spieth 2.5pts
5Dimes |
TIPPING STRATEGY
My strategy is based on several different theories, which I
have outlined below. It is also 99% based on numbers. Every play I post is
supported by some form of numbers, not what I think should happen.
1) History repeats itself. The large majority of
tournaments each year are played on the same course. And while the players
change, the stats and power rankings that predict success on each course
typically do not. And this is where trends are helpful. (Trends are very
helpful for tournaments with new courses as well)
• The trends that I
use are specific to each round of each tournament. I use approximately 40
different player stats and approximately 50 different power rankings. These
stats and power rankings are for an 8 week period and a 4 week period, and
are also weighted. The win/loss record of each of these stats and power
rankings are accumulated from the three previous years of each tournament.
The average sample size is no less than a 100 head to head matchups for each
round.
2) It is my belief that individual sports provide
the greatest opportunity for playing underdogs. Therefore, determining which
underdogs have the most value can be highly profitable.
• In regards to golf, if an individual has a bad day, he
does not have any teammates to pick up the slack. In addition, betting lines
for the world’s top players are often grossly inflated in order to balance
the action. And even the world’s top players have bad days or extended
periods of bad play. The models I have created and are continuing to develop
(regression analysis) allow me to find high value underdogs.
3) More to come……
STAKING PLAN
My plays are based upon a percentage of my starting bankroll
each season. They range from 1% to 8%, with the large majority ranging from
3% to 5%. In order to stay consistent with my fellow tipsters here on
TourTips, I have converted my % system to a points system. 1% is equal to
0.5pts. Therefore, a 3% play equals 1.5pts, a 5% play equals 2.5pts, etc.
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