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9-6; -1.64pts The tipping notation is: BACK/LAY, followed by the price, followed in paratheses by the max/min price at which to BACK/LAY, respectively, followed by the BACK 'to win' and LAY 'liability' points at the stated prices, which is the number of ticks between the available price and the max/min price, up to a maximum of 10pts.
For the in-running tips ... any tip posted before rd3 or rd4 is in addition to those already posted in the event at 'BACK to win' or LAY liabilities that cumulatively sum a maximum of 10pts. For example, if a pre-tournament tip is LAY at 5pts liability and is followed by a pre-rd3 tip at LAY at 9pts liability, the pre-rd3 bet should be laid at 5pts (i.e. a maximum liability of 10pts) if the pre-tournament tip was laid and laid at 9pts if no previously liability had been taken on that player.
Dustin Johnson 24th Pre-tournament BACK 10 (8.6) [7pts] Still the World #1, a three-time winner already this season (which makes 10 PGA Tour titles won in the last 27 months) and a two-time winner of this event. Renowned for being a big-hitter, he is very good around all aspects of his game, including scrambling, which will be tested this week so I would make him a more clear favourite. Pre-rd3 BACK 910 (340) [10pts] A long way back (nine shots behind 2nd place), but certainly capable of shooting a very low score so worth a punt to tiny stakes Pre-rd4 No bet. No lay odds available.
Justin Rose 2nd Pre-tournament LAY 17 (17.5) [1pt] But for opening with back-to-back double bogeys on Monday, he could have been the winner last week. He didn't and now his odds are less than half they were a week ago. Justified, but slightly too much of an overreaction. Pre-rd3 BACK 5.4 (4.4) [10pts]
With Schauffele having never led a Tour event after 36 holes, Rose is in prime position to capitalise (sole 2nd, two shots back) and improve on last week's 2nd place finish. Pre-rd4 BACK 3.2 (2.72) [10pts] Shot 64 yesterday to take a one-shot lead over McIlroy and Schauffele heading into the final round. Has already won the Fort Worth Invitational this year from the front and these are good odds on him to do so again. Brooks Koepka 19th Pre-tournament No play. His odds look correct at this stage. Pre-rd3 LAY 740 (1000) [10pts] Too far back (38th) and not the type of player who makes weekend charges from such positions. Pre-rd4 No bet. No lay odds available. Justin Thomas 12th Pre-tournament BACK 19 (17) [4pts] I would price him a little lower. It is only five weeks since he won the Bridgestone Invitational, which he then followed up with finishes of 6th and 8th. He did finish 24th last week, but his BACK odds have risen from 13.5 last week to 19 this week, which I think is an overreaction to last week's leaderboard finish. He closed with 65 on Monday, so has momentum for this week's event. Pre-rd3 BACK 13 (12) [2pts] Only two shots behind Rose and leading the field in greens in regulation and strokes gained - approaches, so I would price him a little lower Pre-rd4 LAY 30 (42) [6pts] Now four shots behind Rose after a poor ball-striking day yesterday, so these odds look rather low. Rory McIlroy 5th Pre-tournament LAY 21 (29) [8pts] McIlroy disappointed on a course last week that was ideally suited to his game so I'm happy to continue opposing him. Pre-rd3 LAY 14.5 (18.5) [8pts] Dropped back to 7th place yesterday as he struggled to overcome the day one letdown from his frustrating finish when he looked set to shoot a 59. Pre-rd4 LAY 4.4 (4.9) [5pts] He shot 63 yesterday to get back into 2nd place, but the score defies his ball-striking - he ranked 22nd in greens in regulation yesterday and lost shots to the field in the strokes gained - approaches category. He drove and putted extremely well, but his iron play will need to much better under final round pressure if he is to shoot such a score again. He is overpriced as a result. Jordan Spieth 55th Pre-tournament LAY 21 (30) [9pts] Again his game looked close last week, but still not at the level of previous years. Another player that I am happy to continue opposing until a significant change occurs within his performances. Pre-rd3 No play. His odds look correct to me. Pre-rd4 No bet. No lay odds available. Bryson DeChambeau 19th Pre-tournament LAY 23 (40) [10pts] The short week should work against DeChambeau. He won impressively on Monday to record back-to-back wins, but this is surely too much to ask for him to be a serious contender this week. Pre-rd3 LAY 660 (1000) [10pts] In 38th place and ranking 59th (of 69) in strokes gained - approaches, he should be priced as having virtually no chance ignoring the fatigue factor from the last two weeks. Pre-rd4 LAY 910 (1000) [9pts] In 26th place and eight shots back, I'm surprised there are any LAY odds available on DeChambeau, Tiger Woods 6th Pre-tournament No play. His odds look correct at this stage. Pre-rd3 LAY 25 (28) [3pts] Struggled yesterday having been joint leader at the end of day one. Now in 12th place in a crowded leaderboard from 3rd onwards, his price should be a little higher. Pre-rd4 No play. His odds look correct at this stage. Hideki Matsuyama 15th Pre-tournament LAY 26 (55) [10pts] Finishes of 11th, 15th and 4th in the last three weeks mark a significant change in his form after a very difficult year. Those finishes have been from off-the-pace - his 3rd round positions were 24th, 26th, and 25th respectively - so I don't think that this form proves that he is ready to be a serious contender under pressure again. Pre-rd3 LAY 11 (13.5) [5pts] Joint-leader in greens in regulation with Justin Thomas and 2nd in strokes gained - approaches, Matsuyama has played well so far this week until he has to use his short game. He is only a shot behind Rose, but the leaderboard is very congested aound him and he hasn't been in contention like this for some time. Pre-rd4 LAY 42 (55) [5pts] He continues to play well from tee-to-green, but is not competitive with his short game.
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