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Betfair Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

The Heritage
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5-9; +0.09pts

 

Travelling this week so no time for write-ups.

 

Pre-tournament plays:

BACK to win 10pts

Dustin Johnson 10  (8.2)  16th

Paul Casey 17.5  (8.6)

Matt Kuchar 24  (22)  23rd

Marc Leishman 30  (18)  mc

Patrick Cantlay 30  (28)  7th

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

BACK to win 10pts

Luke List 5.8  (4.0)  3rd

Billy Horschel  11.5  (11)  5th

C.T. Pan 17.5  (11.5)  23rd

Chesson Hadley 19  (17)

 

LAY 10pts liability

Ian Poulter 3.55  (4.8)  7th

Si-Woo Kim 6.0  (6.2)  2nd

Kevin Kisner 12.5  (16.5)  7th

Matt Kuchar  48  (75)  23rd

Ryan Moore 60  (70)  16th

 



TIPS, ODDS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided within a few hours of the market going in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.


Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.