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Betfair Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

Texas Open
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6-5; -6.74pts

 

Travelling until the weekend so no time for write-ups

Pre-tournament plays:

BACK to win 10pts

Charley Hoffman 21  (16)  64th

Matt Kuchar 26  (13)  51st

 

LAY 10pts liability

Sergio Garcia 17.5  (23)  mc

 

No pre-rd3 plays 

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

BACK to win 10pts

Zach Johnson 3.0  (2.96)  5th

Ryan Moore 7.0  (6.2)  7th

Trey Mullinax 8.6  (6.2)  2nd

 

LAY 10pts liability

Jimmy Walker 24  (65)  4th

Martin Laird 25  (40)  11th

Chris Kirk 32  (44)  8th

Sean O'Hair 44  (60)  2nd

Grayson Murray 80  (150)  16th



TIPS, ODDS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided within a few hours of the market going in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.


Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.