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5-10; -12.31pts The tipping notation is: BACK/LAY, followed by the price, followed in paratheses by the max/min price at which to BACK/LAY, respectively, followed by the BACK 'to win' and LAY 'liability' points at the stated prices, which is the number of ticks between the available price and the max/min price, up to a maximum of 10pts.
For the in-running tips ... any tip posted before rd3 or rd4 is in addition to those already posted in the event at 'BACK to win' or LAY liabilities that cumulatively sum a maximum of 10pts. For example, if a pre-tournament tip is LAY at 5pts liability and is followed by a pre-rd3 tip at LAY at 9pts liability, the pre-rd3 bet should be laid at 5pts (i.e. a maximum liability of 10pts) if the pre-tournament tip was laid and laid at 9pts if no previously liability had been taken on that player.
Dustin Johnson 3rd Pre-tournament BACK 10.0 (6.8) [10pts] Pre-rd3 BACK 50 (27) [10pts] Only six shots off the pace and if Rose and Woods don't start too well today, these odds could drop very quickly and it is priced on those two staying clear of the field. Pre-rd4 BACK 200 (140) [6pts] A long way behind Woods, but only five shots behind 2nd place so this far will turn out to be far too high if Woods comes back to pack. Justin Rose 4th Pre-tournament BACK 12.0 (10.5) [3pts]
Pre-rd3 BACK 3.8 (2.58) [10pts] Leading the event with Woods, two clear of Mcilroy and three clear of the rest of the field. He leads the field in strokes gained - tee-to-green and greens in regulation and he is a very good front-runner as he showed in the Fort Worth Invitational earlier this year. Pre-rd4 BACK 5.9 (3.65) [10pts] Still leads the field in strokes gained - tee-to-green and greens in regulation and recovered well after dropping shots on the first two holes yesterday. He is joint 2nd and only three shots behind Woods and I expect him to be Woods' strongest challenger today. Rory McIlroy 7th Pre-tournament LAY 13 (17.5) [9pts]
Pre-rd3 LAY 7.0 (8.8) [9pts] Has played well so far this week to be 3rd on his own and two shots behind the leaders. Apart from two WGC events in 2017, the last time that he was inside the top-3 after 36 holes on the PGA Tour was the 2016 Masters Tournament and the time before that was the 2014 Tour Championship. That shows how long it has been since he was at his best. Pre-rd4 BACK 5.4 (4.3) [10pts] Now joint 2nd with Rose and paired with Woods in the final grouping so can exert the maximum pressure on the leader. Has played very well this week, but not on the greens, yet is still in this position so he will certainly put the leader under a lot of pressure if he continues to play as well tee-to-green. Tiger Woods 1st Pre-tournament LAY 13.5 (18.5) [10pts]
Pre-rd3 LAY 4.1 (7.8) [10pts] It is the first time that he has held the lead after 36 holes since the 2015 Wyndham Championship - he finished 10th - and it is only the second time in five years that this has happened. It's great to see him back, but contention rust has been evident when in contention so far this season and I don't expect it to improve significantly this weekend. Pre-rd4 LAY 1.7 (2.36) [10pts] Has a great record when leading after 54 holes, but that was the old Woods. It has been over five years since he has been in this position and while he ranks 2nd on Tour in 3rd Round Scoring Average, he ranks 31st in Final Round Scoring Average (Rose is 8th). He has made final round charges this summer, but has always come up short and even gone backwards when taking the lead. After his troubles, it may be a case of wanting it too much and so putted extra pressure on himself, but today will be a real test of character if he to defend from the front.
Justin Thomas 7th Pre-tournament No play. The odds look correct at this stage. Pre-rd3 BACK 12.5 (11.5) [2pts] Only three shots back but playing very well tee-to-green so far this week - he ranks 26th (of 30) in strokes gained - putting so it is clear where he needs to improve. It will only take a small improvement to make a big difference to his odds given his leaderboard position. Pre-rd4 BACK 270 (250) [2pts] Alongside Johnson in 9th place and five shots behind 2nd place, so warrants slightly shorter odds than those on offer. Brooks Koepka 26th Pre-tournament LAY 15 (18.5) [7pts] Pre-rd3 No play. No lay odds available. Pre-rd4 No play. No lay odds available. Rickie Fowler 7th Pre-tournament BACK 22 (19.5) [3pts] Pre-rd3 No play. His odds look correct at this stage. Pre-rd4 No play. No lay odds available. Bryson DeChambeau 19th Pre-tournament LAY 24 (30) [6pts] Pre-rd3 No play. No lay odds available. Pre-rd4 No play. No lay odds available. Francesco Molinari 21st Pre-tournament LAY 28 (34) [4pts] Pre-rd3 No play. No lay odds available. Pre-rd4 No play. No lay odds available. Tony Finau 15th Pre-tournament BACK 28 (27) [1pt] Pre-rd3 BACK 60 (55) [1pt] Only five shots back having been much closer until a messy end to his round yesterday. Warrants slightly lower odds given his earlier performance this week. Pre-rd4 BACK 170 (120) [5pts] In 6th place and only four shots behind 2nd place, so I would price him at lower odds as these odds are based on Woods playing well from the front.
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