Bayer Advantage Celebrity Pro-Am Outright
plays (2 units): Gil Morgan to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Retaining two of last week's selections and continuing to stick with Morgan who
is close to his earlier season form, but continues to be priced at slightly
higher odds than most of the other leading players. William Hill offer 18/1, but
would rather take the extra place on offer at SkyBet instead.
Bob Gilder to win 20/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Stunning price from Stan James on a player who finished just one shot out of the
playoff last week. SkyBet make him their 3rd favourite at 9/1. As stated last
week, he is a player who plays well in bursts and he has now finished in the
top-six in each of the last four weeks, winning once. He is a real contender
this week. Dana Quigley to win 28/1 e.w. @ Centrebet
Dropping Smyth whose price has plummeted this week and opted for Quigley
instead. He had two top-5 finishes last month and finished very strong last week
after an opening 76. Just looks a big price for a player who has won this season
already and finishes in the top-5 about once in every four tournaments.
Matchup plays (2 units unless stated): Bob Gilder to beat Des
Smyth -125 @ Centrebet
[4 units]
Not only has Gilder finished so highly in the last four events, he has beaten
Smyth in all of their common events in the last eight weeks. Smyth's 10th place
finish last week was his first top-10 for two months and that hardly compares to
Gilder's current form. Tom Jenkins to beat Fuzzy Zoeller -111
@
BetandWin
Will continue to oppose Zoeller in his current form even though he did manage a
top-10 finish three weeks ago. He finished ahead of Jenkins by a single shot
that week, but Jenkins still has a 6-2-0 h2h lead over the past three months.
Wayne Levi to beat Walter Hall -145 @ Five
Dimes
Levi has been in decent form in the last couple of months with 26th being his
lowest finish in his last five events. Over the same period of time, he leads
Hall 4-1-0 h2h and looks a good player at the moment to side with for matchups
as in his last three events he has improved his score in every round so
motivation after an indifferent start does not seem to be a problem.
Gil Morgan to beat Dana Quigley -133 @ Five
Dimes
Just feel that Morgan is the more consistent player and more likely to finish in
the top-5. This is reflected in the outright odds so he is justifiable
favourite. Quigley should have to finish very high up the leaderboard to deny
Morgan so hopefully the outrights will cover any loss on this play.
1st round plays (2 units):
Gil Morgan to beat Dana Quigley -121 @ Five
Dimes
Jose Maria Canizares to beat John Jacobs -115 @ Five
Dimes
1st round update: 2-0-0; +4.00 units
Morgan/Quigley WON by 1
Canizares/Jacobs WON by 5
Final update:
Matchups: 2-2-0; -3.22 units
Gilder/Smyth LOST by 11
Jenkins/Zoeller TIED (Lost)
Levi/Hall WON by 2
Morgan/Quigley WON by 9
18-holes: 2-0-0; +4.00 units
Outrights: 0-3; -6.00 units
Morgan 14th
Gilder 54th
Quigley 54th
Haven't had a 'ties lose' situation for weeks and now get two in the one week.
Turned a beak-even event into a loss-making one as the outrights continue to
struggle. Yet another first-time winner in the 2003 season - this looks as
unpredictable as last year's PGA Tour!
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