Bruno's Memorial Classic Outright plays (2
units): Gil Morgan to win 14/1 e.w. @
William Hill,
Paddy Power and Boyle
Retaining two of last week's selections and putting their failings down to a
weather-disrupted event. Morgan is still playing better than anyone else this
term and he has an equally impressive record on this course. He has yet to win
the event, but has three top-3 finishes in his six previous visits, none of
which has seen him finish outside the top-15. He is still competitive even to
finally secure this title. Larry Nelson to win 16/1 e.w. @
Paddy Power
Nelson has won this title (1999) and finished 3rd last year, so the addition of
good course form is plenty enough reason to maintain their selection. After
three 2nd place finishes this season, he getting very close to ending his
winless run which extends to October 2001 and this looks as good a week as any
to break that run. Dana Quigley to win 25/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Very surprised to see such a large price on Quigley after his 2nd place finish
last week and 5th place the week before. He is already a winner on Tour this
season and returns to a course on which he also has excellent form. Like Morgan,
he has yet to win this event, but has three top-3 finishes in five years. He
also completes a trio of selections that occupy the top-3 positions in the Tour
'All-Around' category, so they are obviously playing well. Will be very
surprised if one of them does not earn a payout this week!
Matchup plays (2 units unless stated): Allen Doyle to beat
Dave Barr -122 @ Centrebet
Doyle doesn't like a player who wins events anymore, but he is still consistent
and worthy of following for matchups. He leads Barr 4-1-0 in their last five
events and while Barr has yet to play this course, Doyle can point to two top-5s
and a top-15 finish in the last three years. Tom Jenkins to
beat Rodger Davis +100 @ Five
Dimes
Jenkins is another who doesn't look a likely winner, but has become very
consistent and certainly more than Davis. Their current form is comparable,
though Davis has won once this year, but Jenkins does hold a decisive edge on
this course. Davis finished 14th last year on his first visit; in three visits
Jenkins has a worst-finish of 14th. Will bite at these odds.
Doug Tewell to beat David Eger -111 @
BetandWin
Tewell almost looked as if he might win again last week when he finished 6th. It
continues his clear trend, bar the Emerald Coast Classic, of improving his
finishing position every week this season. If he is returning to form, then he
should easily beat Eger who has won and did finish 2nd last week, but only has
two other top-30 finishes in eight starts this season. He is also a course
rookie and Tewell has three year's experience here. Ray Floyd
to beat Jay Overton -145 @ Five
Dimes
Since finishing 4th in the ACE Group Classic in February, Overton has struggled
in his two Champions Tour events, which hardly compares to Floyd's two top-10s
in three starts. With Overton also a course rookies and Floyd having finished in
the top-15 in the three times that he has played at Greystone, there is too much
in favour of him this week. Gil Morgan to beat Bob Gilder -110
@ SkyBet
[4 units]
Gilder has beaten Morgan in their last two events with finishes of 1st and 4th,
but those are the only times in eight events that he has beaten Morgan this
season and consistently failed to put three good events together last season.
His record at Greystone does not match up to Morgan's and I think Morgan will
finish ahead of him here again. Tom Purtzer to beat Fuzzy
Zoeller -130 @ Five
Dimes
Last week was only the second time in seven events this season that Zoeller has
finished ahead of Purtzer. With Purtzer having finished ahead last year when
they both made their course debuts, these seem decent enough odds to back a
player who has already won one title this season. Dana Quigley
to beat Fuzzy Zoeller -109 @
Gamebookers [6 units]
Quigley leads Zoeller 9-0-0 h2h this season and has a great record on this
course (Zoeller finished 46th on his debut). Is there any need to say more other
than welcome to Seniors matchups, Gamebookers!
No 1st round plays.
Final update:
Matchups: 4-3-0; +2.26 units
Doyle/Barr LOST by 3
Jenkins/Davis WON by 6
Tewell/Eger WON by 8
Floyd/Overton LOST (Floyd withdrew)
Morgan/Gilder LOST by 5
Purtzer/Zoeller WON by 6
Quigley/Zoeller WON by 4
Outrights: 0-3; -6.00 units
Morgan 20th
Nelson 45th
Quigley 20th
Profit on the matchups not enough to cover the outrights. Quigley had been in
contention for one day, but that was as good as it got. Still struggling with
this Tour this year.
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