Long Island Classic

Outright plays (2 units):

Allen Doyle to win 12/1 e.w. @ Bet365 and Stan James
After six top-10 finishes in his previous eight events, Doyle won the FleetBoston Classic two weeks ago. It was his first win for two years. In that form and against a weaker-than-usual field, he can certainly win again. Had they remained at Meadow Brook, he would definitely fancy his chances - he had finished in the top-3 on all four previous visits - but he should still relish this event even though it has moved to the Red Course at Eisenhower Park.

Des Smyth to win 20/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Smyth should not be disadvantaged from the move to a new course as he had been too young to play when they teed off at Meadow Brook last year. He comes into this event in consistent form with nine top-20 finishes in his last eleven starts and he did close with a 66 on Sunday to finish 7th in the 3M Championship. More generally available at 12/1, he will surely win a title very soon.

Tom Jenkins to win 28/1 e.w. @ Stan James and Paddy Power
Jenkins has already done so this year - Bruno's Memorial Classic - and he is every bit as consistent. With ten top-10 finishes on Tour this season, he ranks 2nd behind Doyle in that category. He has yet to earn even a place return as a selection in the last two weeks, but these odds look too big for this quality of player.

Matchup plays (2 units unless stated):

Allen Doyle to beat Dana Quigley -130 @ Five Dimes
Quigley may have won this event in 1997, but only finished ahead of Doyle once on the previous course. He has failed to do so recently and trails 2-7-0 h2h in the last three months, so Doyle is a deserved favourite here.

Tom Jenkins to beat Bob Gilder -115 @ Five Dimes
Gilder should welcome the change in venue for this event as he had struggled on his two previous visits to Meadow Brook and finished well behind Jenkins both times. He also trails 2-6-1 in the last three months, so it doesn't look good for him in this match.

John Harris to beat Gary Koch -127 @ Five Dimes [4 units]
Also siding with a player in this match who has a clear head-to-head lead. Harris leads 3-1-1 h2h over the past three months and 4-2-1 h2h overall on this Tour against Koch. Much more as expected from Koch and it appears that Harris is the one with the greater desire to win this match.

Ed Fiori to beat Seiji Ebihara -103 @ Five Dimes [6 units]
Ebihara has been just as disappointing on this Tour after being so impressive in Europe. Will continue to oppose him and this week with Fiori who was 6th in FleetBoston Classic two weeks ago and has a 5-1-0 h2h career record against the Japanese player on this Tour.

Final update:

Matchups: 2-2-0; +5.10 units

Doyle/Quigley LOST by 3
Jenkins/Gilder LOST by 7
Harris/Koch WON by 1
Fiori/Ebihara WON by 2

Outrights: 1-2; +0.00 units

Doyle 37th
Smyth 3rd
Jenkins 9th

Thankful to two very tight matchup wins for the profit on this event. Smyth did finish four shots behind the winner, but never really threatened in the final round, while Jenkins never broke par until that round. A lucky profit on the event!