Turtle Bay Championship

Outright plays (2 units):

D.A. Weibring to win 12/1 e.w. @ William Hill
The youngster has quickly established himself as one of the leading players on the Tour this year with a win and top-10 finishes in his last eight Senior events. He even made the cut in a PGA Tour event, the John Deere Classic, where he was 12th after 36 holes. Not quite in the same league as Craig Stadler and the B.C. Open, but still very impressive. No course form, but that has been a problem all year and he has still been very competitive. Will bite at double-digit odds.

Tom Jenkins to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Stan James continue to underestimate Jenkins. This is not normally a price reserved for a player who has won once this year already and finished 4th in his last two starts. His course form is not particularly impressive, but this is still a large price for such a competitive player.

Rodger Davis to win 40/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Davis is another who has already won this year (Toshiba Senior Classic) and has a good number of top-10 finishes as well. He hasn't played since the Tradition five weeks ago, but he is well-established as a good wind player (which he needed to be to win the Toshiba event) and should be looking to improve on his 11th place finish from last year when he had been on contention throughout the event.

Matchup plays (2 units unless stated):

Hugh Baiocchi to beat Jay Overton -135 @ Five Dimes [4 units]
Big difference in form between these two. Baiocchi has two top-10 finishes in his last five starts, while Overton's best finish since February (15 starts) has been 20th in the Bayer Advantage Classic in May. No surprise that Baiocchi dominates the head-to-head stats for this match.

John Bland to beat Ed Fiori -115 @ Five Dimes
The head-to-head stats are much more evenly balanced in this match, but course experience is deemed to be decisive here. While Fiori will be making his debut on this course this week, Bland finished 3rd last year and that is a sizeable advantage over his opponent.

Tom Purtzer to beat Don Pooley -125 @ Five Dimes
Similar story here with the head-to-head stats, but still siding with Purtzer who is the better player. Pooley doesn't rank in the top-10 in any of the Champions Tour's 28 stat categories, with the figure for Purtzer is ten, while also being top-ranked in driving distance and greens in regulation, a very useful combination.

1st round plays (2 units unless stated):

Rodger Davis to beat Stewart Ginn -132 @ Five Dimes
John Bland to beat Ed Fiori -115 @ Five Dimes [4 units]
Hugh Baiocchi to beat Jay Overton -122 @ Five Dimes [4 units]

1st round update: 1-1-1; -0.60 units

Davis/Ginn TIED (Push)
Bland/Fiori LOST by 2
Baiocchi/Overton WON by 7

2nd round plays (2 units):

Morris Hatalsky to beat Don Pooley -117 @ Five Dimes
Graham Marsh to beat Jim Ahern -120 @ Five Dimes

2nd round update: 1-0-1; +2.00 units

Hatalsky/Pooley TIED (Push)
Marsh/Ahern WON by 2

3rd round plays (2 units):

D.A. Weibring to beat Bob Gilder -135 @ Five Dimes
Morris Hatalsky to beat Don Pooley -122 @ Five Dimes

3rd round update: 2-0-0; +4.00 units

Weibring/Gilder WON by 3
Hatalsky/Pooley WON by 3

Final update:

Matchups: 2-1-0; +3.70 units

Baiocchi/Overton WON by 5
Bland/Fiori LOST by 1
Purtzer/Pooley WON by 2

18-holes: 4-1-2; +5.40 units

Outrights: 0-3; -6.00 units

Weibring 6th
Jenkins 47th
Davis 5th

Profitable event, but a sickener on the outrights. Neither looked like winning, but both looked as though they should have gained a place win. Davis had been 3rd but failed to birdie the par-5 18th hole which was playing the second-easiest hole. It dropped him to the final place spot in 4th until Summerhays recorded only the 2nd eagle of the week on that hole to leapfrog over him and push him out of the places. Weibring finished two shots out of the places after failing to birdie either the easiest or the second-easiest holes of the week on the final nine. Another profitable Champions Tour event, but another frustration in the outrights market.