Outright Picks - Champions Tour
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Senior PGA
Championship
FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +5.00pts
McNulty 6th
Levi 40th
Hatalsky 4th
Profit on the plays, but still frustrating that McNulty finished one
short of adding to the profits and that Jenkins, who had been an
original selection ahead of Levi, did finish in the top-5.
Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)
Mark McNulty to win 20/1 e.w. @
Tote
The first major of the year and the first venture of the year into this
Tour for a number of bookies and this is where there are value prices.
The course did host the 2001 Pennsylvania Classic on the PGA Tour which
a small number of this week's player did enter, in particular Jay Haas
who finished 11th, but the main approach here is to back players in form
with so little course form. So siding with three of the top-4 in the
Tour's Scoring Average stats should be a rewarding policy at these odds.
McNulty ranks 2nd in this category despite being winless in 2005, but he
has finished 2nd twice and in the top-10 six times in nine starts this
year. He won three times on this Tour last year and is certainly capable
of winning this event.
Wayne Levi to win 33/1 e.w. @
Tote
The top-ranked player in terms of Scoring Average and in terms of
All-Around Ranking and Ball-Striking on the Tour. Levi was available at
single figures for last week's event and on that basis alone, this is
good value. All these selections have won on this Tour and all are
playing extremely well. Surely, only the weather can prevent at least
one of them earning a top-5 spot this week.
* Tom Jenkins 40/1 e.w. @ Tote had originally been posted instead of
Levi, but Tote immediately closed the line so it was no longer a valid
tip - Levi @ 33/1 e.w. was the next-best offering *
Morris Hatalsky to win 40/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes
Hatalsky ranks 4th in Scoring Average and shares a common characteristic
with McNulty: neither has won this year, but they have both finished 2nd
twice in 2005, while Levi has done so once. For Hatalsky those
runners-up have both occurred in his last seven events during which time
he has finished outside the top-10 only once. That level of consistency
would normally result in odds at half this level. |