Outright Picks - Champions Tour |
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Kinko's Classic |
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FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -8.00pts
Hatalsky 36th
Bryant 11th
Pate 17th
Nelson 19th
No much hope in this event with three players shooting 74 or over in
the first round. The remaining player, Hatalsky, had been at the top of
the leaderboard for much of the first round, but slipped down towards
the end of the round and then shot 78 on Saturday to end any hopes in
this market.
Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)
Morris Hatalsky to win 20/1 e.w. @
Bet365
and
Ladbrokes
Simple pick to make. Hatalsky has finishes of 1st, 2nd and 4th in his
last five starts and has finished in the top-10, including a best of 3rd
place, in the three years that this event has been staged at The Hills.
With a similarly impressive record in other events in Texas, this looks
a solid play.
Brad Bryant to win 25/1 e.w. @
Bet365,
William Hill
and
Ladbrokes
Bryant can also count a win and a 2nd place in his last five starts and
a similarly impressive record on this course, so this is a very similar
pick to Hatalsky. He finished 5th on his debut on this course last year
and finished 4th in his other start in Texas last year (Administaff
Small Business Classic) despite holding the lead with one round to play.
He was born in Amarillo, Texas , so that should be another advantage and
closed with a 66 in the final round last week, so there are no concerns
about his form either. So, just like Hatalsky, a rather predictable
pick, though there is value at these odds.
Jerry Pate to win 33/1 e.w. @
Bet365,
William Hill
and
Ladbrokes
It has taken some time for Pate to look very competitive on this Tour.
He did lose out on the Senior PGA Championship via a playoff last year,
but he has never really put any form together until this year. Now he
can lay claim to a win, a 6th place and a 7th place finish in his last
four starts and his 6th place finish looks all week as though it would
be a lot higher, but playing in the final group, he played poorly in the
opening nine holes on Sunday and never recovered. He did play this
course in his Tour rookie season (2004) and finished 27th, but he had
yet to finish in the top-10 on Tour and this year will be a different
proposition. He did finish 6th in his sole start in Texas last year (SBC
Championship) and a similarly high finish is expected this year.
Larry Nelson to win 66/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes
Adding a fourth play with more bookies offering five places this week
andthis event being rather open. And while Nelson may be considered a
player past his prime, there has been a marked improvement in his form
this season with four top-15 finishes and a 6th place finish last week
that would have been a top-5 finish but for a bogey on the final hole.
That means he may be more competitive again and it is no accident that
it has occurred when the players are allowed to use carts again - Nelson
is a player who has struggled more than most with his back. If he is
becoming competitive again, then it is a very good time for him to be
playing in Texas. Not only is he a former winner of this event (2004),
but he has won four times on this Tour in Texas since 2000 and finished
2nd on one other occasion, from a total of 12 starts in that period.
That's an impressive record in the Lone Star State.
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