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Outright Picks - Champions Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

 
 
SAS Championship
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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -6.00pts

Kite 34th
Stadler 47th
Eaks 72nd

The fact that this event ended a round early made no difference for the outrights which were desperately poor. The winner, Tom Jenkins, had been considered at 33/1 because of his course form so yet another winner was left on the cutting room floor.

 

Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)

Tom Kite to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Tote
Retaining Kite from last week's selections as even though he wasn't at his best, he still looked set for a top-5 finish until a seven on the 14th hole. He eventually finished one shot out of a top-10 finish and that would have been his eight in a row so he clearly playing better than a standard 20/1 shot on this Tour. And while he had played at last week's course just once previously, finishing 7th, he is the course record holder here at Prestonwood with 61 when finishing 2nd in 2003. Having been 16/1 last week before Roberts and Weibring withdrew, he is certainly better value at these odds this week.

Craig Stadler to win 33/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Did closely consider retaining Bryant as a selection this week at 14/1 (best price of 12/1 last week), but 33/1 is such a stand-out price, Stadler is worth a shot instead at this price. His course form figures of 8th, 1st (wire-to-wire) and 4th are difficult to ignore and he showed more than just a few glimpses of his best form last week. After 13 holes of his first round, he was almost last, but birdied four of the last hole to shoot under-par and even though he was 37th after two rounds, he was 7-under-par for the first eight holes on Sunday to get within two shots of Andy Bean. He would be over-par on the back nine and fall out of contention, but it would have been very encouraging ahead of this event and a return to a course on which he has played so well in the past.

R.W. Eaks to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
Surprisingly large odds on Eaks given his performances in the last month and last year. His last three finishes have been 11th, 7th and then 2nd last week and that was on a course on which his previous best finish had been 33rd. His form has been so good that each of his last ten rounds have been 70 or less. And then there is last year ... he was making his debut on the course, but still held the sole lead heading into the final round. He had never won on the Champions or PGA Tour (but won three Nationwide Tour titles) and had a best-finish of 6th on this Tour at the time, so it was always going to be a nervy final round and so it was: he started with a double-bogey six and shot 42 on the front nine. He would be two-under-par for the back nine and still finish in the top-10, but not win. However, he was now had two runners-up finishes this season alone and is much better prepared if he were to enter the final round in the lead again.