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Outright Picks - Champions Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

Senior PGA Championship

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FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +17.75pts

Haas 1st
Bryant 2nd
Edwards 14th

Pretty good event when two of your selections contest the playoff and the third selection threatened to sneak a top-5 finish for most of the week. Just a pity that the bigger-priced selection three-putted the last playoff hole to surrender a very good opportunity to win just a few minutes earlier.

 

Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)

Jay Haas to win 10/1 e.w. @ William Hill
With Roberts struggling - he had his first-ever putting lesson at the Boeing Championship earlier this month - Haas looks like the top player on this Tour again. He has shown his streakiness on the Champions Tour previously and it has been evident again this year, though now in a positive frame with wins in his last two events on this Tour and a very impressive 22nd place finish in the Wachovia Championship on the PGA Tour last time out. Buoyed by those wins and a strong family showing at Quail Hollow, he is the player who deserves favouritism this week.

Brad Bryant to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and William Hill
A large price for a player who next-ranked behind Roberts and Haas in the Money Leaders and Charles Schwab Cup Points tables. Even in terms of scoring average, he ranks 4th so on that basis alone he shouldn't be at these odds. And his recent form is much better than his current-year averages suggest: in his last five starts, he has won twice and finished no worse than 11th. That form is good enough to win this week.

David Edwards to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
There are four members of the "Oak Tree Gang" - Gil Morgan, David Edwards, Doug Tewell and Mark Hayes - and with this event being played on Oak Tree, they should have a considerable edge over the rest of the field. But with Gil Morgan stating "I just don't play enough to to feel like I've a got a real big home-court advantage", it is Edwards who gets the nod out of this quartet. He has only been old enough to play on this Tour for a month and has finished 4th, 3rd and 14th in his three starts, so he can certainly compete with the more established players. And this week he can use home advantage to good effect, whereas his rookie status leads to a lack of course knowledge in normal Tour events. When the PGA Championship came to Oak Tree in 1988, it was Edwards who performed best of the "Oak Tree Gang": he finished 25th, whereas Tewell was 70th, Morgan missed the cut and Hayes didn't qualify. There is a very good chance that he will again finish top of this group.