Summary: 4 Bets, 1 Win, 3 Losses. Loss 8.25 Pts
Bet 1 - Buy Tom Jenkins over Allen Doyle 18H MB at 1.5 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts.
M/U 0, Loss 0.45 Pts
Jenkins leads Doyle 14-9 in events and 14-8-1 in R1 matches over the last 2 seasons and is currently on a win streak of 4 in matches between them. Course form is with Doyle but the stats above suggests Jenkins should be clear favourite.
Bet 2 - Buy Loren Roberts over Allen Doyle 18H MB at 7 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts.
M/U -19, Loss 7.8 Pts
Roberts has an even better record although of course we have to pay a premium for that advantage. 14-3 in events and 15-2-1 in R1 matches suggests that 7 is too low. Roberts was 3rd here last year which is favourable with Doyle's 3 year sequence of 16/10/5.
Bet 3 - Buy Fred Funk over Curtis Strange 18H MB at 9 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts.
M/U 31, Profit 6.6 Pts
Taking a chance of this one as there is little historical data between the two players to study and the downside is far greater than the up. However, in 8 starts on this tour, Funk has a 50% Top 10 record and has placed in 2 of 8 starts. Strange has a 6% top 10 record and an average score a full 4 strokes higher than Funk over the last 2 months.
Bet 4 - Sell Denis Watson over Tom Kite 18H MB at 0 with Sporting Index BetHiLo for 0.3 Pts
M/U 22, Loss 6.6 Pts
Watson is generally a slow starter and as we are betting on their R1 match rather than any full event match-up there is value in taking Kite off of 0. Their H2H shows a 13-7 lead for Kite and an overall win 2 weeks ago when Watson finished a lowly 59th at Pebble. Kite has a 13/7 record in two starts here whilst Watson was 67th in his only start. |