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Southern Africa

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Tour Championship

Course: Leopard Creek Country Club, Malelane, Mpumalanga
Yardage: 7079
Par: 71 (three par-fives)

Weather Forecast

Past Winners:
2001 - Darren Fichardt

Outright plays (1 unit unless otherwise stated):

Martin Maritz to win 18/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Would have looked at Wessels and Immelman this week, but having played in Australia last week, they are passed over for players who remained in South Africa this month. Habitually first on my list is Maritz who rarely fails to contend. Last year's winner, Darren Fichardt, is rather long off the tee and Maritz, who finished 22nd, is of similar game.

Tjaart Van Der Walt to win 28/1 e.w. @ NetBetSports
Van Der Walt is another who has been a profitable selection this season. Top-5 finishes in his last two events, he should be a genuine contender this week before heading to the States to prepare for the start of the Buy.com Tour season.

Bradford Vaughan to win 50/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Has shown an improvement in form in the last few weeks with successive top-20 finishes. A regular winner on this Tour, he would not have been this price at the start of the year. A repeat of last year's 4th place finish would make for a profitable week.

72-hole plays (1 unit unless otherwise stated):

Marc Cayeux to beat Sandeep Grewal -111 @ Simon Bold [3 units]
Grewal is featured because of a career week at the Dunhill Championship. In seven other starts on the Southern Africa Tour he has a best of 63rd place. His record on the European Challenge Tour is no better: 10 missed cuts from 12 starts. Quite a contrast to Cayeux who has missed just one cut in the last 12 months (20 starts)!

Marco Gortana to beat Nico Van Rensburg -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
Gortana beat Van Rensburg on this course last year and in all five events on this Tour this year. Can't see any reason for this pattern to change this week.

Simon Hurd to beat Mark Murless -111 @ Simon Bold
Murless is capable of great weeks - 7th last week, 2nd in the Zimbabwe Open last year - but these mask typically poor weeks. In his three other starts this year he has been 85th, missed the cut and withdrawn after one round. Hurd has beaten him in all three common events this year and on this course last year.

Mid-point update:

Cayeux/Grewal WON  (Grewal WD)
Gortana/Van Rensburg Trails by 3
Hurd/Murless Trails by 6

Maritz 29th
Van Der Walt 14th
Vaughan 17th

What an eventful tournament! Won the top matchup as Grewal withdrew midway through the 2nd round - he was 11-over-par and last anyway. Bradford Vaughan was the 1st round leader after shooting three eagles, but opened his 2nd round with a quadruple-bogey! Three bogeys to close and he fell right out of contention, with the 2nd round leader being Bruce Vaughan. Still hopeful that this doesn't turn into a losing event.

Final update:

Matchups: 1-2; -0.33 units

Gortana/Van Rensburg LOST by 8
Hurd/Murless LOST by 12

Outrights: 0-3; -3.00 units

Maritz 7th
Van Der Walt 35th
Vaughan 19th

Disappointing way to conclude the 2002 section of this Sunshine Tour season. Convincing losses for both Gortana and Hurd cancelled out the earlier win and all the outrights were some distance off the pace. Seems a very long time since Bradford Vaughan was the tournament leader.