Nelson Mandela Championship

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3-1; +3.90pts  (system plays: 0-1-0)

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Peter Lawrie to beat Magnus A. Carlsson -105 @ Bet365  LOST by 1
Carlsson has earned his Tour Card via a 6th place finish on the Challenge Tour Rankings and played well in the South African Open last month, but he is against a main Tour regular who finished inside the top-50 in the Race to Dubai and who has finished 4th and 14th in the last two European Tour events. That should amount to a notable difference in quality between these two players.

Lorenzo Gagli to beat Matthew Baldwin -110 @ 5Dimes  WON by 1
In their last ten comment events, Gagli has finished ahead of Baldwin eight times and over that ten-event period, Baldwin has shot the lower 1st round score just once. That's enough of a matchup dominance to back Gagli against a player who has also missed the cut in four of five previous starts in South Africa.

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Tim Clark to beat Soren Kjeldsen -125 @ Stan James  WON by 3

Tim Clark to beat Pablo Larrazabal -116 @ Bet365 [also available @  5Dimes, Paddy Power and Boyle Sports]  WON by 2

Thomas Aiken to beat Darren Fichardt -110 @ Stan James  TIED

[unofficial rd2 system play: Bourdy tb Fichardt -116 (L)]