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18-Hole Match Picks - Southern Africa Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

 

 

Odds: 3-Balls

Joburg Open
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3-0; +10.00pts  (system plays: 1-0-0) 

No round 1 plays.

 

Round 2 play (2pts): 

Simon Dyson to beat Robert-Jan Derksen -110 @ Stan James [also available @ 5Dimes]  WON by 4
A poor opening round from Dyson sees him outside the cut after the 1st round, but he is playing well enough to bounce back tomorrow - he has finished in the top-20 in each of the last two weeks. He has also finished ahead of Derksen in seven of their last nine common events, so a reversal of today's score would be the norm.

 

Round 3 plays (4pts):

Byeong-Hun An to beat Michael Hollick -110 @ 5Dimes  WON by 5
This is only the second time (in eight events) that Hollick has been inside the top-50 at the cut in a European Tour-sanctioned event. On the previous occasion (2013 Alfred Dunhill Championship), he shot 74-76 over the weekend to drop 37 places, so it doesn't point to him being ready for the step up to such a 'big event', having never played a Tour event outside South Africa. An played well on the Challenge Tour last year and has been far more impressive from tee-to-green so far this week.

Alastair Forsyth to beat James Heath -110 @ Stan James  WON by 6
Two players in the top-5 at the cut, but I will oppose Heath in this position. This is the first time since 2006 that he has been inside the top-5 at the cut, so 'contention rust' should certainly be an issue. With a h2h record of 24-13-1 in Forsyth's favour anyway, the Scot should be the clear favourite in this matchup.

[unofficial rd3 system play: Levy tb Brooks -135 (W)] 

 

Round 4 plays (4pts):

Alexander Levy to beat Michael Hollick -125 @ 5Dimes  TIED
Opposing Hollick again after the slipped down the leaderboard today as expected. No-one else has hit less greens in regulation after three rounds, so I'll back the Frenchman to take advantage.

Adilson Da Silva to beat Keith Horne -120 @ 5Dimes  TIED
10th in driving accuracy and 4th in greens in regulation, Da Silva has played much better than his current position. It was only a triple-bogey six on the 16th hole today that prevented him from shooting a third consecutive sub-70 round, so I'll back him to score rather better tomorrow.