Tshwane Open	Subscribe

10-1; +1.33pts 

Pre-tournament plays:

LAY 20pts liability

James Morrison 46  6th
Nacho Elvira 44  mc
David Horsey 120  56th
Ashun Wu 140  mc
Morrison recorded his best finish in South Africa last week (4th), but he has had no success on this course - he was 4-over-par when missing the cut in his only previous visit in 2015 - so I would expect higher odds with this course form
Elvira doesn't have any previous course form at Pretora so that makes these odds rather short for a player whose best finish in South Africa in 25th
Four missed cuts in five starts in 2017 makes Horsey an easy player to oppose, so it is surprising to see him priced so low given that form
It's win or bust with Wu - in 43 European Tour starts, he has won twice but recorded no other top-10 finish. With just one previous start in South Africa and no course history at Pretoria, 'bust' looks a safe bet with Wu this week

Pre-rd3 plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Soo-Min Lee 70  29th
Graeme Storm 130  22nd
Richie Ramsay 150  12th
Chris Paisley 160  79th
Darren Fichardt 180  37th

Pre-rd4 plays:

BACK 1pt

Oliver Fisher 42  18th
It may be a couple of years since he has been in this position, but Fisher has won on the European Tour previously (2011 Czech Open) so has the experience to be able to maintain the momentum after his 3rd round 62. In 6th place and only three shots off the lead, this odds look a little large when Aiken and Morrison are available at less than half these odds but are in the same position on the leaderboard

LAY 20pts liability

Zander Lombard 70  22nd
Lombard is a shot further back, but he is a player who has missed all four cuts in 2017 so seems a very unlikely player to make a challenge tomorrow