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Betfair Picks - Southern Africa Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair

 
 
South African Open
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The tipping notation is: BACK/LAY, followed by the price, followed in paratheses by the max/min price at which to BACK/LAY, respectively, followed by the BACK 'to win' and LAY 'liability' points at the stated prices, which is the number of ticks between the available price and the max/min price, up to a maximum of 10pts.

For the in-running tips ... any tip posted before rd3 or rd4 is in addition to those already posted in the event at 'BACK to win' or LAY liabilities that cumulatively sum a maximum of 10pts. For example, if a pre-tournament tip is LAY at 5pts liability and is followed by a pre-rd3 tip at LAY at 9pts liability, the pre-rd3 bet should be laid at 5pts (i.e. a maximum liability of 10pts) if the pre-tournament tip was laid and laid at 9pts if no previously liability had been taken on that player.
 

Louis Oosthuizen  1st
Pre-tournament
BACK 9.0 (7.0) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 4.0 (3.15) [10pts] 
Pre-rd4
LAY 1.58 (1.59) [1pt] 
 
Dylan Frittelli  mc
Pre-tournament
LAY 11.5 (21) [10pts]
 
Matt Wallace  15th
Pre-tournament
LAY 14 (41) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
LAY 12.5 (16.5) [8pts]
Pre-rd4
BACK 6.4 (3.7) [10pts] 
 
Branden Grace  7th
Pre-tournament
LAY 16 (23) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 13.5 (8.5) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
LAY 65 (160) [10pts] 
 
Charl Schwartzel  3rd
Pre-tournament
LAY 17.5 (28) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
LAY 3.1 (5.1) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
LAY 7.2 (16.0) [10pts] 
 
Dean Burmester  mc
Pre-tournament
LAY 28 (38) [6pts]
 
Erik Van Rooyen  dns
Pre-tournament
LAY 30 (55) [10pts]
 
Romain Langesque  2nd
Pre-tournament
LAY 40 (210) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
LAY 270 (1000) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
LAY 880 (1000) [10pts] 
 
George Coetzee  mc
Pre-tournament
LAY 42 (55) [6pts]
 
Justin Harding  mc
Pre-tournament
LAY 46 (100) [10pts]
 


TIPS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided the evening before the market goes in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.



Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.