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0-1; -10.00pts Pre-tournament plays: LAY 10pts liability George Coetzee 12 (27) 1st
Coetzee may have grown up playing this course and been a former winner of this event here (2015), but since that win he has finished 14th and mc in this event and before that win, he was winless in eight Southern Africa Tour events on this course. That makes one win in 11 starts here. His form is good - 13th and 8th in his last two starts - and it is certainly an improvement over the finishes of 54th-mc-mc in his previous starts this year. But these odds are still far too short for a player who has won twice in 42 European Tour events in South Africa. He may be the home player on a course he knows well, but he is a player to oppose at these odds. No pre-rd3 plays. No pre-rd4 plays. Once again, the BACK odds on Coetzee are marginally too low to represent value.
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TIPS AND STAKES
Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange
markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for
which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips
that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange
market, there are two things to note:
-
Tips will normally be provided the evening before the
market goes in-play;
-
Tips will focus only on those players near the top of
the market.
There is plenty of value in backing players at very
large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the
next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in
providing tips for these odds.
Odds of 2.0 or higher
All BACK plays
will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.
So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is
10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are
staked to win 1.25pts.
Odds of less than 2.0
All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY
plays will be to win 10pts
The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to
take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.
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