Simulation Results: The Serengeti Playoffs

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Daniel Van Tonder	12.60%	7.9	6.5		2
Shaun Norris	11.04%	9.1	5.5		6
Darren Fichardt	5.47%	18	15		16
J.C. Ritchie	5.21%	19	15		27
Jaco Ahlers	4.84%	21	17		11
Pieter Moolman	3.64%	27	23		11
Jonathan Broomhead	3.10%	32	19		9
Martin Vorster	3.06%	33	23		11
Yurav Premlall	3.05%	33	23		11
Dylan Naidoo	2.64%	38	23		16
Jacques Blaauw	2.53%	40	23		24
Louis De Jager	2.44%	41	41		40
Jean Hugo	2.40%	42	41		16
George Coetzee	2.16%	46	31		1
Jovan Rebula	2.04%	49	31		45
Nikhil Rama	1.93%	52	29		56
Malcolm Mitchell	1.91%	52	31		11
Kyle Barker	1.74%	57	36		16
Keenan Davidse	1.66%	60	46		40
M.J. Viljoen	1.62%	62	51		33
Michael Hollick	1.54%	65	51		33
Luke Brown	1.46%	68	34		56
Hennie O'Kennedy	1.39%	72	81	0.20%	64	-0.2	Spreadex: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Lyle Rowe	1.31%	76	56		64
J.J. Senekal	1.14%	88	91		9
Fredrik From	1.12%	89	46		33
Altin Van Der Merwe	1.09%	92	61		6
Martin Rohwer	1.07%	93	91		33
Gerhard Pepler	0.98%	102	51		24
Heinrich Bruiners	0.98%	102	176	0.40%	33	-0.4	Paddy Power: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rupert Kaminski	0.96%	104	71		51
Luke Jerling	0.93%	108	131	0.20%	40	-0.2	Spreadex: 130/1, 6pl, 1/5
Graham Van Der Merwe	0.81%	123	126		45
Jaco Van Zyl	0.80%	125	121		27
Wynand Dingle	0.59%	169	176		63
Kyle De Beer	0.54%	185	251	0.10%	3	2.45	Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jean-Paul Strydom	0.53%	189	101		40
Christiaan Burke	0.51%	196	101		16
C.J. Du Plessis	0.48%	208	276	0.10%	27	-0.1	Paddy Power: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Herman Loubser	0.42%	238	201		6
Rourke Van Der Spuy	0.41%	244	351	0.10%	27	-0.1	Paddy Power: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rhys West	0.40%	250	131		45
Hennie Otto	0.39%	256	276		39
Jack Hawksby	0.35%	286	501	0.20%	54	-0.2	Spreadex: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ricky Hendler	0.34%	294	251		16
Stuart Krog	0.34%	294	1001	0.20%	54	-0.2	Paddy Power: 1000/1, 6pl, 1/5
Danie Van Niekerk	0.30%	333	401	0.10%	51	-0.1	Paddy Power: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jason Roets	0.29%	345	301		50
Joe Long	0.29%	345	751	0.20%	40	-0.2	Paddy Power: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jacques De Villiers	0.26%	385	301		70
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	0.26%	385	176		56
Ruan Korb	0.23%	435	1001	0.10%	22	-0.1	Paddy Power: 1000/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ruan Conradie	0.22%	455	501		45
Ethan Smith	0.20%	500	501		27
James Mack	0.20%	500	1001	0.10%	24	-0.1	Paddy Power: 1000/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kyle McClatchie	0.20%	500	301		60
Stals Swart	0.20%	500	401		3
Stefan Wears-Taylor	0.19%	526	501		3
Werner Deyzel	0.19%	526	301		69
Samuel Simpson	0.17%	588	251		56
Callum Mowat	0.16%	625	501		71
Franklin Manchest	0.11%	909	751		51
Robson Chinhoi	0.10%	1000	751		67
Matthew Spacey	0.09%	1111	1501		64
Dayne Moore	0.08%	1250	2001		68
Otto Van Buynder	0.07%	1429	451		23
Simon Du Plooy	0.07%	1429	601		27
Quintin Wilsnach	0.05%	2000	1001		45
Ruan De Smidt	0.05%	2000	1001		33
Keegan Mclachlan	0.04%	2500	1501		60
Stephen Ferreira	0.03%	3333	1501		60
Tristin Galant	0.00%	10000	2501		72

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	3.87%	26
C.J. Du Plessis	1.97%	51
Callum Mowat	0.76%	132
Christiaan Burke	2.02%	50
Danie Van Niekerk	1.30%	77
Daniel Van Tonder	27.45%	3.6
Darren Fichardt	14.44%	6.9
Dayne Moore	0.34%	294
Dylan Naidoo	7.94%	13
Ethan Smith	0.88%	114
Franklin Manchest	0.49%	204
Fredrik From	3.86%	26
George Coetzee	6.72%	15
Gerhard Pepler	3.66%	27
Graham Van Der Merwe	3.05%	33
Heinrich Bruiners	3.46%	29
Hennie O'Kennedy	4.67%	21
Hennie Otto	1.59%	63
Herman Loubser	1.71%	58
J.C. Ritchie	14.13%	7.1
J.J. Senekal	3.97%	25
Jack Hawksby	1.42%	70
Jaco Ahlers	13.28%	7.5
Jaco Van Zyl	3.10%	32
Jacques Blaauw	7.85%	13
Jacques De Villiers	1.08%	93
James Mack	0.92%	109
Jason Roets	1.19%	84
Jean Hugo	7.51%	13
Jean-Paul Strydom	2.03%	49
Joe Long	1.27%	79
Jonathan Broomhead	9.30%	11
Jovan Rebula	6.44%	16
Keegan Mclachlan	0.24%	417
Keenan Davidse	5.60%	18
Kyle Barker	5.85%	17
Kyle De Beer	2.18%	46
Kyle McClatchie	0.86%	116
Louis De Jager	7.63%	13
Luke Brown	4.82%	21
Luke Jerling	3.40%	29
Lyle Rowe	4.37%	23
M.J. Viljoen	5.32%	19
Malcolm Mitchell	6.17%	16
Martin Rohwer	3.80%	26
Martin Vorster	8.95%	11
Matthew Spacey	0.42%	238
Michael Hollick	5.21%	19
Nikhil Rama	6.31%	16
Otto Van Buynder	0.36%	278
Pieter Moolman	10.83%	9.2
Quintin Wilsnach	0.26%	385
Rhys West	1.64%	61
Ricky Hendler	1.47%	68
Robson Chinhoi	0.49%	204
Rourke Van Der Spuy	1.70%	59
Ruan Conradie	0.89%	112
Ruan De Smidt	0.25%	400
Ruan Korb	1.04%	96
Rupert Kaminski	3.51%	28
Samuel Simpson	0.73%	137
Shaun Norris	24.97%	4
Simon Du Plooy	0.35%	286
Stals Swart	0.88%	114
Stefan Wears-Taylor	0.83%	120
Stephen Ferreira	0.16%	625
Stuart Krog	1.48%	68
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	1.14%	88
Tristin Galant	0.01%	10000
Werner Deyzel	0.78%	128
Wynand Dingle	2.37%	42
Yurav Premlall	9.11%	11

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	6.99%	14
C.J. Du Plessis	3.81%	26
Callum Mowat	1.62%	62
Christiaan Burke	3.82%	26
Danie Van Niekerk	2.53%	40
Daniel Van Tonder	38.05%	2.6
Darren Fichardt	22.13%	4.5
Dayne Moore	0.74%	135
Dylan Naidoo	13.18%	7.6
Ethan Smith	1.81%	55
Franklin Manchest	1.09%	92
Fredrik From	6.99%	14
George Coetzee	11.41%	8.8
Gerhard Pepler	6.51%	15
Graham Van Der Merwe	5.70%	18
Heinrich Bruiners	6.28%	16
Hennie O'Kennedy	8.07%	12
Hennie Otto	3.17%	32
Herman Loubser	3.33%	30
J.C. Ritchie	21.59%	4.6
J.J. Senekal	7.11%	14
Jack Hawksby	2.89%	35
Jaco Ahlers	20.39%	4.9
Jaco Van Zyl	5.70%	18
Jacques Blaauw	12.89%	7.8
Jacques De Villiers	2.20%	45
James Mack	1.84%	54
Jason Roets	2.43%	41
Jean Hugo	12.68%	7.9
Jean-Paul Strydom	3.89%	26
Joe Long	2.55%	39
Jonathan Broomhead	15.20%	6.6
Jovan Rebula	11.04%	9.1
Keegan Mclachlan	0.57%	175
Keenan Davidse	9.59%	10
Kyle Barker	9.99%	10
Kyle De Beer	4.12%	24
Kyle McClatchie	1.82%	55
Louis De Jager	12.61%	7.9
Luke Brown	8.35%	12
Luke Jerling	6.17%	16
Lyle Rowe	7.85%	13
M.J. Viljoen	9.24%	11
Malcolm Mitchell	10.46%	9.6
Martin Rohwer	6.82%	15
Martin Vorster	14.73%	6.8
Matthew Spacey	0.89%	112
Michael Hollick	9.10%	11
Nikhil Rama	10.79%	9.3
Otto Van Buynder	0.77%	130
Pieter Moolman	17.08%	5.9
Quintin Wilsnach	0.59%	169
Rhys West	3.27%	31
Ricky Hendler	2.81%	36
Robson Chinhoi	1.06%	94
Rourke Van Der Spuy	3.33%	30
Ruan Conradie	1.82%	55
Ruan De Smidt	0.61%	164
Ruan Korb	2.18%	46
Rupert Kaminski	6.33%	16
Samuel Simpson	1.57%	64
Shaun Norris	34.94%	2.9
Simon Du Plooy	0.79%	127
Stals Swart	1.84%	54
Stefan Wears-Taylor	1.78%	56
Stephen Ferreira	0.40%	250
Stuart Krog	2.90%	34
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	2.25%	44
Tristin Galant	0.02%	5000
Werner Deyzel	1.68%	60
Wynand Dingle	4.35%	23
Yurav Premlall	14.96%	6.7

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	15.24%	6.6
C.J. Du Plessis	9.16%	11
Callum Mowat	4.73%	21
Christiaan Burke	9.50%	11
Danie Van Niekerk	6.80%	15
Daniel Van Tonder	55.48%	1.8
Darren Fichardt	37.45%	2.7
Dayne Moore	2.35%	43
Dylan Naidoo	25.14%	4
Ethan Smith	4.99%	20
Franklin Manchest	3.28%	30
Fredrik From	15.32%	6.5
George Coetzee	22.86%	4.4
Gerhard Pepler	14.44%	6.9
Graham Van Der Merwe	12.97%	7.7
Heinrich Bruiners	13.84%	7.2
Hennie O'Kennedy	17.30%	5.8
Hennie Otto	8.13%	12
Herman Loubser	8.41%	12
J.C. Ritchie	36.87%	2.7
J.J. Senekal	15.27%	6.5
Jack Hawksby	7.40%	14
Jaco Ahlers	35.22%	2.8
Jaco Van Zyl	12.81%	7.8
Jacques Blaauw	24.75%	4
Jacques De Villiers	5.92%	17
James Mack	5.08%	20
Jason Roets	6.47%	15
Jean Hugo	24.62%	4.1
Jean-Paul Strydom	9.49%	11
Joe Long	6.73%	15
Jonathan Broomhead	28.29%	3.5
Jovan Rebula	21.98%	4.5
Keegan Mclachlan	1.82%	55
Keenan Davidse	19.70%	5.1
Kyle Barker	20.38%	4.9
Kyle De Beer	9.96%	10
Kyle McClatchie	5.07%	20
Louis De Jager	24.42%	4.1
Luke Brown	17.61%	5.7
Luke Jerling	13.69%	7.3
Lyle Rowe	16.73%	6
M.J. Viljoen	18.91%	5.3
Malcolm Mitchell	21.01%	4.8
Martin Rohwer	14.96%	6.7
Martin Vorster	27.54%	3.6
Matthew Spacey	2.76%	36
Michael Hollick	18.76%	5.3
Nikhil Rama	21.70%	4.6
Otto Van Buynder	2.49%	40
Pieter Moolman	30.80%	3.2
Quintin Wilsnach	1.98%	51
Rhys West	8.31%	12
Ricky Hendler	7.37%	14
Robson Chinhoi	3.22%	31
Rourke Van Der Spuy	8.27%	12
Ruan Conradie	5.11%	20
Ruan De Smidt	1.96%	51
Ruan Korb	5.80%	17
Rupert Kaminski	13.91%	7.2
Samuel Simpson	4.39%	23
Shaun Norris	52.47%	1.91
Simon Du Plooy	2.52%	40
Stals Swart	5.14%	19
Stefan Wears-Taylor	4.86%	21
Stephen Ferreira	1.36%	74
Stuart Krog	7.39%	14
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	6.06%	17
Tristin Galant	0.09%	1111
Werner Deyzel	4.79%	21
Wynand Dingle	10.50%	9.5
Yurav Premlall	27.88%	3.6

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	32.32%	3.1
C.J. Du Plessis	22.51%	4.4
Callum Mowat	13.38%	7.5
Christiaan Burke	22.77%	4.4
Danie Van Niekerk	17.97%	5.6
Daniel Van Tonder	75.32%	1.33
Darren Fichardt	59.46%	1.68
Dayne Moore	7.93%	13
Dylan Naidoo	45.97%	2.2
Ethan Smith	14.10%	7.1
Franklin Manchest	10.31%	9.7
Fredrik From	32.66%	3.1
George Coetzee	42.74%	2.3
Gerhard Pepler	31.03%	3.2
Graham Van Der Merwe	28.94%	3.5
Heinrich Bruiners	30.13%	3.3
Hennie O'Kennedy	35.35%	2.8
Hennie Otto	20.36%	4.9
Herman Loubser	20.77%	4.8
J.C. Ritchie	58.69%	1.7
J.J. Senekal	32.59%	3.1
Jack Hawksby	18.98%	5.3
Jaco Ahlers	57.20%	1.75
Jaco Van Zyl	28.44%	3.5
Jacques Blaauw	45.16%	2.2
Jacques De Villiers	16.16%	6.2
James Mack	14.14%	7.1
Jason Roets	17.31%	5.8
Jean Hugo	45.23%	2.2
Jean-Paul Strydom	22.81%	4.4
Joe Long	17.74%	5.6
Jonathan Broomhead	49.45%	2
Jovan Rebula	41.79%	2.4
Keegan Mclachlan	6.36%	16
Keenan Davidse	38.89%	2.6
Kyle Barker	39.68%	2.5
Kyle De Beer	23.73%	4.2
Kyle McClatchie	14.24%	7
Louis De Jager	44.98%	2.2
Luke Brown	35.74%	2.8
Luke Jerling	29.85%	3.4
Lyle Rowe	34.75%	2.9
M.J. Viljoen	37.69%	2.7
Malcolm Mitchell	40.35%	2.5
Martin Rohwer	31.77%	3.1
Martin Vorster	48.50%	2.1
Matthew Spacey	9.02%	11
Michael Hollick	37.62%	2.7
Nikhil Rama	41.35%	2.4
Otto Van Buynder	8.36%	12
Pieter Moolman	52.44%	1.91
Quintin Wilsnach	6.70%	15
Rhys West	20.59%	4.9
Ricky Hendler	18.93%	5.3
Robson Chinhoi	9.99%	10
Rourke Van Der Spuy	20.96%	4.8
Ruan Conradie	14.51%	6.9
Ruan De Smidt	6.80%	15
Ruan Korb	15.83%	6.3
Rupert Kaminski	30.06%	3.3
Samuel Simpson	12.86%	7.8
Shaun Norris	72.88%	1.37
Simon Du Plooy	8.26%	12
Stals Swart	14.36%	7
Stefan Wears-Taylor	14.03%	7.1
Stephen Ferreira	5.13%	19
Stuart Krog	18.93%	5.3
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	16.21%	6.2
Tristin Galant	0.53%	189
Werner Deyzel	13.69%	7.3
Wynand Dingle	24.72%	4
Yurav Premlall	49.05%	2

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	48.89%	2
C.J. Du Plessis	37.40%	2.7
Callum Mowat	25.15%	4
Christiaan Burke	37.87%	2.6
Danie Van Niekerk	31.53%	3.2
Daniel Van Tonder	86.42%	1.16
Darren Fichardt	74.55%	1.34
Dayne Moore	16.38%	6.1
Dylan Naidoo	62.77%	1.59
Ethan Smith	25.92%	3.9
Franklin Manchest	20.48%	4.9
Fredrik From	49.25%	2
George Coetzee	59.61%	1.68
Gerhard Pepler	47.41%	2.1
Graham Van Der Merwe	45.18%	2.2
Heinrich Bruiners	46.68%	2.1
Hennie O'Kennedy	52.30%	1.91
Hennie Otto	34.69%	2.9
Herman Loubser	35.06%	2.9
J.C. Ritchie	74.06%	1.35
J.J. Senekal	49.11%	2
Jack Hawksby	32.75%	3.1
Jaco Ahlers	72.76%	1.37
Jaco Van Zyl	44.49%	2.2
Jacques Blaauw	62.06%	1.61
Jacques De Villiers	28.92%	3.5
James Mack	26.11%	3.8
Jason Roets	30.58%	3.3
Jean Hugo	62.03%	1.61
Jean-Paul Strydom	37.75%	2.6
Joe Long	31.23%	3.2
Jonathan Broomhead	65.62%	1.52
Jovan Rebula	58.66%	1.7
Keegan Mclachlan	14.03%	7.1
Keenan Davidse	55.97%	1.79
Kyle Barker	56.92%	1.76
Kyle De Beer	38.84%	2.6
Kyle McClatchie	26.27%	3.8
Louis De Jager	61.84%	1.62
Luke Brown	52.69%	1.9
Luke Jerling	46.08%	2.2
Lyle Rowe	51.43%	1.94
M.J. Viljoen	54.50%	1.83
Malcolm Mitchell	57.39%	1.74
Martin Rohwer	48.26%	2.1
Martin Vorster	65.29%	1.53
Matthew Spacey	18.51%	5.4
Michael Hollick	54.51%	1.83
Nikhil Rama	58.43%	1.71
Otto Van Buynder	17.41%	5.7
Pieter Moolman	68.61%	1.46
Quintin Wilsnach	14.52%	6.9
Rhys West	35.08%	2.9
Ricky Hendler	32.82%	3
Robson Chinhoi	19.79%	5.1
Rourke Van Der Spuy	35.40%	2.8
Ruan Conradie	26.52%	3.8
Ruan De Smidt	14.76%	6.8
Ruan Korb	28.49%	3.5
Rupert Kaminski	46.32%	2.2
Samuel Simpson	24.43%	4.1
Shaun Norris	84.78%	1.18
Simon Du Plooy	17.06%	5.9
Stals Swart	26.64%	3.8
Stefan Wears-Taylor	26.05%	3.8
Stephen Ferreira	11.61%	8.6
Stuart Krog	32.87%	3
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	29.11%	3.4
Tristin Galant	1.78%	56
Werner Deyzel	25.51%	3.9
Wynand Dingle	40.11%	2.5
Yurav Premlall	65.76%	1.52

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	64.40%	1.55
C.J. Du Plessis	53.08%	1.88
Callum Mowat	39.53%	2.5
Christiaan Burke	53.67%	1.86
Danie Van Niekerk	46.77%	2.1
Daniel Van Tonder	93.05%	1.07
Darren Fichardt	85.32%	1.17
Dayne Moore	28.16%	3.6
Dylan Naidoo	76.33%	1.31
Ethan Smith	40.50%	2.5
Franklin Manchest	33.70%	3
Fredrik From	64.72%	1.55
George Coetzee	73.76%	1.36
Gerhard Pepler	63.00%	1.59
Graham Van Der Merwe	60.75%	1.65
Heinrich Bruiners	62.33%	1.6
Hennie O'Kennedy	67.42%	1.48
Hennie Otto	50.22%	1.99
Herman Loubser	50.71%	1.97
J.C. Ritchie	84.99%	1.18
J.J. Senekal	64.69%	1.55
Jack Hawksby	48.27%	2.1
Jaco Ahlers	83.96%	1.19
Jaco Van Zyl	60.21%	1.66
Jacques Blaauw	76.02%	1.32
Jacques De Villiers	44.05%	2.3
James Mack	40.56%	2.5
Jason Roets	45.87%	2.2
Jean Hugo	75.85%	1.32
Jean-Paul Strydom	53.57%	1.87
Joe Long	46.43%	2.2
Jonathan Broomhead	78.54%	1.27
Jovan Rebula	73.05%	1.37
Keegan Mclachlan	25.17%	4
Keenan Davidse	70.71%	1.41
Kyle Barker	71.47%	1.4
Kyle De Beer	54.61%	1.83
Kyle McClatchie	40.70%	2.5
Louis De Jager	75.68%	1.32
Luke Brown	67.84%	1.47
Luke Jerling	61.73%	1.62
Lyle Rowe	66.69%	1.5
M.J. Viljoen	69.52%	1.44
Malcolm Mitchell	71.98%	1.39
Martin Rohwer	63.67%	1.57
Martin Vorster	78.29%	1.28
Matthew Spacey	31.17%	3.2
Michael Hollick	69.33%	1.44
Nikhil Rama	72.71%	1.38
Otto Van Buynder	29.77%	3.4
Pieter Moolman	80.82%	1.24
Quintin Wilsnach	25.71%	3.9
Rhys West	50.65%	1.97
Ricky Hendler	48.34%	2.1
Robson Chinhoi	32.72%	3.1
Rourke Van Der Spuy	50.88%	1.97
Ruan Conradie	40.89%	2.4
Ruan De Smidt	25.91%	3.9
Ruan Korb	43.29%	2.3
Rupert Kaminski	62.01%	1.61
Samuel Simpson	38.50%	2.6
Shaun Norris	92.08%	1.09
Simon Du Plooy	29.02%	3.4
Stals Swart	41.30%	2.4
Stefan Wears-Taylor	40.46%	2.5
Stephen Ferreira	21.49%	4.7
Stuart Krog	48.19%	2.1
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	44.05%	2.3
Tristin Galant	4.64%	22
Werner Deyzel	40.02%	2.5
Wynand Dingle	55.77%	1.79
Yurav Premlall	78.78%	1.27

Player	Win %	TT Odds
Altin Van Der Merwe	0.00%	10000
C.J. Du Plessis	0.00%	10000
Callum Mowat	0.00%	10000
Christiaan Burke	0.00%	10000
Danie Van Niekerk	0.00%	10000
Daniel Van Tonder	0.00%	10000
Darren Fichardt	0.00%	10000
Dayne Moore	0.00%	10000
Dylan Naidoo	0.00%	10000
Ethan Smith	0.00%	10000
Franklin Manchest	0.00%	10000
Fredrik From	0.00%	10000
George Coetzee	0.00%	10000
Gerhard Pepler	0.00%	10000
Graham Van Der Merwe	0.00%	10000
Heinrich Bruiners	0.00%	10000
Hennie O'Kennedy	0.00%	10000
Hennie Otto	0.00%	10000
Herman Loubser	0.00%	10000
J.C. Ritchie	0.00%	10000
J.J. Senekal	0.00%	10000
Jack Hawksby	0.00%	10000
Jaco Ahlers	0.00%	10000
Jaco Van Zyl	0.00%	10000
Jacques Blaauw	0.00%	10000
Jacques De Villiers	0.00%	10000
James Mack	0.00%	10000
Jason Roets	0.00%	10000
Jean Hugo	0.00%	10000
Jean-Paul Strydom	0.00%	10000
Joe Long	0.00%	10000
Jonathan Broomhead	0.00%	10000
Jovan Rebula	0.00%	10000
Keegan Mclachlan	0.00%	10000
Keenan Davidse	0.00%	10000
Kyle Barker	0.00%	10000
Kyle De Beer	0.00%	10000
Kyle McClatchie	0.00%	10000
Louis De Jager	0.00%	10000
Luke Brown	0.00%	10000
Luke Jerling	0.00%	10000
Lyle Rowe	0.00%	10000
M.J. Viljoen	0.00%	10000
Malcolm Mitchell	0.00%	10000
Martin Rohwer	0.00%	10000
Martin Vorster	0.00%	10000
Matthew Spacey	0.00%	10000
Michael Hollick	0.00%	10000
Nikhil Rama	0.00%	10000
Otto Van Buynder	0.00%	10000
Pieter Moolman	0.00%	10000
Quintin Wilsnach	0.00%	10000
Rhys West	0.00%	10000
Ricky Hendler	0.00%	10000
Robson Chinhoi	0.00%	10000
Rourke Van Der Spuy	0.00%	10000
Ruan Conradie	0.00%	10000
Ruan De Smidt	0.00%	10000
Ruan Korb	0.00%	10000
Rupert Kaminski	0.00%	10000
Samuel Simpson	0.00%	10000
Shaun Norris	0.00%	10000
Simon Du Plooy	0.00%	10000
Stals Swart	0.00%	10000
Stefan Wears-Taylor	0.00%	10000
Stephen Ferreira	0.00%	10000
Stuart Krog	0.00%	10000
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	0.00%	10000
Tristin Galant	0.00%	10000
Werner Deyzel	0.00%	10000
Wynand Dingle	0.00%	10000
Yurav Premlall	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Altin Van Der Merwe	1.52%	66	51		3
C.J. Du Plessis	0.75%	133	101		30
Callum Mowat	0.51%	196	126		71
Christiaan Burke	0.80%	125	61		13
Danie Van Niekerk	0.60%	167	126		30
Daniel Van Tonder	7.36%	14	12		13
Darren Fichardt	4.33%	23	21		22
Dayne Moore	0.23%	435	301		67
Dylan Naidoo	2.58%	39	26		3
Ethan Smith	0.54%	185	126		22
Franklin Manchest	0.29%	345	201		52
Fredrik From	1.28%	78	41		30
George Coetzee	2.30%	43	31		1
Gerhard Pepler	1.24%	81	46		43
Graham Van Der Merwe	1.06%	94	67		5
Heinrich Bruiners	1.23%	81	67		58
Hennie O'Kennedy	1.42%	70	51		67
Hennie Otto	0.66%	152	126		22
Herman Loubser	0.69%	145	71		22
J.C. Ritchie	3.68%	27	21		30
J.J. Senekal	1.29%	78	56		1
Jack Hawksby	0.79%	127	126		30
Jaco Ahlers	3.33%	30	26		30
Jaco Van Zyl	1.08%	93	67		52
Jacques Blaauw	2.15%	47	29		30
Jacques De Villiers	0.53%	189	81		70
James Mack	0.45%	222	151		10
Jason Roets	0.66%	152	101		13
Jean Hugo	2.53%	40	34		58
Jean-Paul Strydom	0.76%	132	56		52
Joe Long	0.68%	147	126		58
Jonathan Broomhead	2.55%	39	29		13
Jovan Rebula	2.30%	43	34		30
Keegan Mclachlan	0.20%	500	201		13
Keenan Davidse	1.97%	51	41		30
Kyle Barker	1.74%	57	36		5
Kyle De Beer	0.80%	125	81		13
Kyle McClatchie	0.46%	217	91		30
Louis De Jager	2.57%	39	41	0.10%	30	-0.1	Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Luke Brown	1.71%	58	36		69
Luke Jerling	1.20%	83	81		43
Lyle Rowe	1.70%	59	51		30
M.J. Viljoen	1.59%	63	46		13
Malcolm Mitchell	1.99%	50	31		43
Martin Rohwer	1.40%	71	51		43
Martin Vorster	2.97%	34	29		22
Matthew Spacey	0.33%	303	201		58
Michael Hollick	1.84%	54	41		43
Nikhil Rama	2.10%	48	31		52
Otto Van Buynder	0.30%	333	151		13
Pieter Moolman	3.31%	30	29		5
Quintin Wilsnach	0.24%	417	126		52
Rhys West	0.73%	137	67		64
Ricky Hendler	0.63%	159	101		13
Robson Chinhoi	0.36%	278	151		43
Rourke Van Der Spuy	0.87%	115	81		22
Ruan Conradie	0.44%	227	126		43
Ruan De Smidt	0.24%	417	251		10
Ruan Korb	0.50%	200	151		22
Rupert Kaminski	1.17%	85	51		10
Samuel Simpson	0.38%	263	81		22
Shaun Norris	6.79%	15	11		5
Simon Du Plooy	0.29%	345	176		30
Stals Swart	0.53%	189	91		5
Stefan Wears-Taylor	0.46%	217	126		43
Stephen Ferreira	0.18%	556	201		64
Stuart Krog	0.76%	132	126		52
Trevor Fisher, Jr.	0.55%	182	67		43
Tristin Galant	0.02%	5000	501		72
Werner Deyzel	0.51%	196	91		58
Wynand Dingle	1.03%	97	67		64
Yurav Premlall	2.96%	34	26		58

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Heinrich Bruiners	0.98%	102	176	0.40%	33	-2	Paddy Power: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
WIN: Hennie O'Kennedy	1.39%	72	81	0.20%	64	-2	Spreadex: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
WIN: Luke Jerling	0.93%	108	131	0.20%	40	-2	Spreadex: 130/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Louis De Jager	2.57%	39	41	0.10%	30	-6	Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.