Tipster: Andy

Accenture Match Play Championship

Round One Trades

Buy C DiMarco over M Campbell 18H MB at 3 with Spreadex for 0.75 pts (M/U 16, Profit 9.75pts)
Neither of these players have a good world matchplay record, Campbell has won 2 of 6 and DiMarco 1 of 4.. DiMarco though is taken to prevail here due to Campbell's very poor PGA Tour form. in 2003 he missed 7 cuts, DQ at Sawgrass after starting with an 89 !!! and in his only 4 round event was 69th in the PGA, it was a very poor year. He has stated a desire to stick to where he plays best so he shouldn't have too many positives in his mind for this week.

Buy T Woods over J Rollins 18H MB at 10.5 with Spreadex for 0.75 pts (M/U 13, Profit 1.88pts)
We are advising Woods at Spreadex's spread free price of 10.5. (If you place 3 bets you can have another spread free). At 10.5 this is a fair price. Woods has a 14-3 record in this event. That doesn't mean to say he is value at 4/1 to win outright but he certainly is so at 10.5 in his R1 match. Rollins has missed the cut in the last 3 weeks so comes in here on poor form. Obviously 18H can be a lottery at best but in Matchplay even more so but Woods should be longer priced than he is. He is coming off a very low R4 at Riviera so should be mentally prepared and confident.

Buy V Singh over S Katayama 18H MB at 10 with Spreadex for 0.75 pts (M/U 25, Profit 11.25pts)
Both this bet and the Weir bet are being traded on the fact the price is just a little too low. Singh has lost a bit of the edge he had over the last two weeks but with his obsessive ambition to be #1 in the world, the points allocated for winning this would help immensely. Katayama has been playing in Japan with some success but in the States he has missed 11 of 18 cuts in his career, best position being 4th in Toms' PGA win in 2001. 10 is a fair price.

Buy M Weir over R Beem 18H MB at 10 with Spreadex for 0.75 pts (M/U 19, Profit 6.75pts)
Mike Weir is in great form, winning last week and was progressively heading upwards towards last week having been 5th and 4th in previous weeks. Beem has not had a top 30 since the Western last July. Even in Australia where he was one of the top ranked players in the two fields he finished 34th and MC in December 2003. Once again value even at the high price offered.

Note: Scoring this week is 10pts win, 3pts per Holes won by. so a 2 up pays the same as a 2&1. Although this does squeeze the advantage of buying players as there is less likelihood of a high MU, you also get the insurance that if your player wins at an extra hole it doesn't MU at the 18H point of 0 but on who wins through, and would therefore MU 10. This can work both ways but it does give us a straight even money bet on the 19th hole and more on 4 players who would be favourite in-running.

Sell S Garcia over J Kelly 18H Index at 13.5 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U -25, Profit 10.12pts)

Sell J Kaye over D Waldorf 18H Index at 13.5 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U -25, Profit 10.12pts)

Sell P Casey over S Micheel 18H Index at 12.5 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U -10, Profit 1.88pts)

Sell P Lonard over R Mediate 18H Index at 13.5 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U 25, Profit -8.62pts)

Sell K J Choi over S Cink 18H Index at 12.5 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U -25, Profit 9.37pts)
All 5 of these bets are advised as i believe the prices should be a lot closer. I would rate most of these are "take your pick" and possibly even the Choi bet as being the wrong favourite. The winner gets 25 points, the loser 0 and if it goes down the 19th it M/U at 10 no matter who wins. We are on the outsider in all 5, and with the known ceiling the most you can lose in each individual bet is 25 less the price. Three correct will make a profit and only two would still come close due to the prices we are trading at.

Round Two Trades

Buy Tiger Woods over Trevor Immelman 18H MB at 9 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U 25, Profit 12pts.)
Everyone that watched Woods last night and seen him be given the match rather than win it are rushing to back Immelman at inflated odds and Cantor have reacted to this and offered Woods at 3 or 4 points too low. Others go 8-11 and even that is verging on value. Immelman doesn't have a great US tour record but coupling Woods' struggle with Immelman beating the, "supposed good thing" Maruyama, with ease yesterday has meant some value here. In matchplay, of course, they start afresh each day so i am happy to advise Woods at a price where any victory produces a profit.
 

Sell P Harrington over B Estes 18H Index at 13 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U 25, Profit -9pts)

Sell A Scott over R Allenby 18H Index at 12 with Cantor Sports for 0.75 pts. (M/U 10, Profit 1.5pts)
Similar to yesterday, Scott is a false favourite at 12, and Harrington, although probably favourite, is priced too heavily.

Tipster: Shaker

Accenture Match Play Championship

Round One Trades

Buy Kenny Perry/Jeff Sluman 18H MB at 3 with Cantor Sports for 0.5 pts (M/U 28, Profit 12.5pts)
Already supported Perry on the Betfair outright market but I can't resist this generous price, it's high as 5 elsewhere. Simple reasons: Perry is in a different class to Sluman, he's a fabulously long and straight driver which I think will stand him in good stead this week, plus he's rested and fresh whereas Sluman pulled out injured from last week's Nissan.

Sell Davis Love/Briny Baird 18H MB at 4 with all except IG for 0.5 pts (M/U 16, Profit -6pts)
Possibly a dangerous player to take on, is Love, because he is capable of great things ... but similarly he can be very poor for no apparent reason. His missed cut last time out, plus the way Clarke destroyed him in round 2 here last year, means I'm very happy taking him on with someone with Baird's profile. Definite signs that his game was returning to it's very consistent best last week and we could see his usual fairways-and-greens efforts triumph today. There is also a chance we could see the occasional streaky putting round he comes up with and that, or a poor show from the sometimes unpredictable DL3, could see a handsome make-up in our favour here. Worth a try at the price I feel, with strokeplay non-winners, as Baird is, often doing the business in this format.

Round Two Trades

Buy Stewart Cink/Colin Montgomerie at 3 (*1.5*) with SportsSpread for 0.5 pts (M/U -25, Profit -13.25pts)
Originally tipped this at 1.5 with SS but it changed almost immediately so it's not fair to tip a price nobody can get. The 3 is available at every other firm quoting. Reasons for this play is on the matchups page here.
*Update*: IG Sport have just gone up at 1.5 Cink too, so we are now justified in including this price for our P/L record, wouldn't hesitate to take the 3 elsewhere either though.

Adding:

Buy Chad Campbell/Loren Roberts at 3 with Sporting Index & IG Sport for 0.5 pts (M/U 19, Profit 8pts)

Buy Kenny Perry/Steve Flesch at 3 with Spreadex for 0.5 pts
Both acceptable prices, I was prepared to reluctantly ignore these matches on the spreads, after tipping them both on the matchups, if the price wasn't right, but it is fine. Going in at 4 would've been a much harder decision, though. (M/U 13, Profit 5pts)

Quarter Final Trade

Buy Phil Mickelson/Davis Love at 3 with SportsSpread & IG Sport for 0.5 pts (M/U -13, Profit -8pts)
Nothing very complicated here, I just think Mickelson is playing fantastically well (he is several under par every round so far) and I've some doubts about Love. He admits to being a bit croaky after possibly catching his wife's cold and is also being periodically troubled by a bad neck. He's played OK this week, being a couple under par each round, but has had a slightly soft run so far, culminating in playing Scott immediately after he'd finally won a very tight 23-hole match. I won't be surprised if he completely runs out of steam today and gets hammered like he did by Clarke in round two last year.

Summary (Weekly Record 3-3 Profit -1.75pts)