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Accenture World
Matchplay |
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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts Donald 9th
O'Hern 17th
Pettersson 17th All three made it through the first round and all
three only left the tournament after extremely close matches. Donald
lost by just one hole to Retief Goosen in the 3rd round, Pettersson lost
out by just one hole to the eventual runner-up, Davis Love, and O'Hern
lost after three extra hole to the eventual winner, Geoff Ogilvy. Three
good performances from the selections, but nothing to take home from
them as a result. Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts) Luke Donald to win 33/1
e.w. available generally
The key with matchplay events is not simply to identify players who
would play well in matchplay conditions, but who have a favourable draw
as it only takes four wins to get to the semi-finals and at least a
place payout. Donald progressed to the 3rd round and it was his debut,
credit is due there. On his return visit, he should perform much better,
particularly with such a successful matchplay record in the Walker and
Ryder Cup, and he certainly has an inviting draw. Top-seed in the Sam
Snead bracket, Retief Goosen, was widely rumoured to be about to pull
out of this event, so may struggle to reach the third round (when he
would meet Donald) for only the second time. Donald plays Richard Green
in the first round and this could easily be his toughest match of this
bracket as of the other contenders, Darren Clarke is playing
inconsistently, Jim Furyk has never progressed beyond the third round
and Monty has never done well in this event. This looks another good
opportunity to extend his impressive record in California. Nick
O'Hern to win 80/1 e.w. @
Stan James
and
Ladbrokes
It was O'Hern who defeated Donald in the third round last year and that
was quite a scalp after he had defeated Tiger Woods 3&1 in the second
round. O'Hern could have been easily failed to lift his game after the
Tiger victory, but instead he thrashed Donald 5&4. Now he comes into
this event in even better form with five top-3 finishes in his last
seven starts and while he still appears incapable of winning a
strokeplay event, the change in format clearly suits him. On paper, he
has a tough Ben Hogan bracket with both Ernie Els and Phil Mickelson
present, but Els has skipped this event in each of the last two years
and has won a total of two matches in four appearances. Mickelson's
record is not quite so bad, but as he has yet to win his bracket in six
attempts, he is hardly a daunting opponent. Mickelson should progress to
the bracket decider as he does have a very easy draw in the lower half
of the bracket, but of O'Hern's likely opponents in the top-half, his
first round opponent, Fred Funk, is 0-for-5 in this event, his likely
second round opponent, Michael Campbell, has also yet to win a match in
this event, and his likely third round opponent, Mike Weir, has never
progressed beyond the second round. It's all set up for a couple of
battles of the lefties and O'Hern is the best matchplayer among them.
Carl Pettersson to win 125/1 e.w. available generally
The Gary Player bracket looks the most open of all with top-seed, Vijay
Singh, and fourth seed, Angel Cabrera, also never progressing beyond the
second round. The third seed, Kenny Perry, is in poor form and he will
be Pettersson's first opponent after which he is likely to play the
equally unpredictable and out-of-form, Davis Love. His biggest test is
likely to come from Chris DiMarco with Rory Sabbatini surely due to run
out of steam or collapse from nervous exhaustion early this week. So for
a player who has two top-10 finishes already this season, including 7th
place last week, and played particularly well in his previous appearance
- he matched Tiger Woods for most the first round before losing 2&1 to
the eventual champions - the odds of 125/1 each-way (i.e. 0.75pts at
31.25/1 to win his four matches and the bracket) are decent value. |
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