1-2; -2.85pts Further outright plays (3pts)
England to
finish in the top-four +105 @
The Greek
4th
England to finish to win 'Top GB & Ire' -140 @
The Greek
2nd
I never like putting too many eggs in one basket, but I simply
didn't look at these markets as I was only interested in England
to win! Quite simply, The Greek has priced up England wrong for
this event and these plays should be much stronger than the 3pts
on England to win, particularly the top-four market. Already
putting up too many pts on this team for my normal tipping
strategy, but I should have spotted these markets earlier!
Outright play (3pts)
England to win 7/2
@
The Greek
4th
Odds of 3/1 would be fairly marginal, but there is enough at
these odds to certainly warrant a play. There is no doubting the
fact that these two are the form players this week, with both of
them winning in the last two weeks, and it is more than just
form: they are the only two players in this World Championship
event that are ranked inside the top-20 in the World Rankings -
Rose is 8th and Poulter 20th. Now add in the fact that they have
been close friends for many years on Tour. They have come very
close to victory in the past - Poulter 5th with Casey in 2001;
Rose 3rd with Casey in 2002 and 2nd in 2003 - but the players
that they faced at the time included Tiger Woods, Ernie Els,
Vijay Singh, Phil Mickelson, Padraig Harrington, Jim Furyk, Adam
Scott and K.J. Choi of the current top-10 in the World Rankings
and there is no-one remotely of the same calibre to challenge
Rose and Poulter this time. There is a good case to be made for
some value in the 33/1 on the Thai pairing, but none look as
likely winners as Rose and Poulter. |