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4-4; -0.44pts
Round 1 plays (2pts):
Jim Furyk to beat Padraig Harrington -115 @ Five Dimes WON by 1 Sergio Garcia to beat Padraig Harrington -115 @ Five Dimes TIED Opposing Pod who admitted to losing his focus after last year's Open win and may well do so again until the Ryder Cup. He has yet to record a top-10 finish in eight attempts on this course, never finishing ahead of Furyk here and doing so only once against Garcia, so, focussed or not, he shouldn't be able to beat both these players today
Adam Scott to beat Anthony Kim -105 @ Carib WON by 2 Kenny Perry to beat Anthony Kim -110 @ Five Dimes LOST by 3 Kim did a great deal on Sunday to convince me that he is still a long way from being a top-class player on the PGA Tour. There may be some repercussions from that display, but even still, he is yet to be in the same league as these players
David Toms to beat Robert Karlsson +115 @ Unibet LOST by 1 Can't deny Karlsson's form at the moment, but finishes of 77th, 62nd and 69th in his three previous attempts in this limited field event may point to his run of form coming to an end this week. With Toms admitting that he was taking a five-week "summer vacation" on his website after playing nine weeks out of eleven rather than skipping Royal Birkdale for injury reasons, he looks good value at these particularly with three top-10 finishes in the last four years here
Justin Rose to beat Geoff Ogilvy +110 @ Pinnacle [also available @ WSEX] TIED Ogilvy is another player who has struggled at Firestone with finishes of 41st, 36th and 51st in his three attempts. Rose was 2nd last year and should be favourite to finish ahead of Ogilvy for the fourth time in five events
Further Round 1 play (2pts):
Zach Johnson to beat Angel Cabrera -108 @ Unibet WON by 5 Johnson has finished ahead of Cabrera in six of their last seven common events and has a 11-3-1 h2h record in the first round over the last 12 months. With Cabrera's game collapsing so dramatically at Royal Birkdale when leading and with the Argentinian yet to record a top-10 finish in a strokeplay event outside his home country this year, this head-to-head dominance may continue
Round 2 play (2pts):
Jim Furyk to beat Steve Stricker -125 @ Carib [also available @ Pinnacle and WSEX] TIED Both finished in 6th place yesterday, but in very different circumstances. Furyk was struggling with his game early on, but scrambled successfully and each time and started to play very well on the back nine and didn't drop a shot all day. Stricker took the lead after 13 holes, but then his game deserted him and he could easily have finished a lot lower down the leaderboard than sixth. Furyk should be much more confident heading into today's round and looks set for another top-10 finish on this course
Round 3 plays (2pts):
Steve Stricker to beat Hunter Mahan -112 @ Five Dimes [also available @ Carib] LOST by 5 Stricker needed to chip-in on the last hole yesterday to deny the win with Furyk, but I'll back him today because his short game has been so good - he ranks 1st in putts per round and 6th in putting average so far this week. If he can improve his driving today, he will find a lot more greens and shoot a much lower score
Stuart Appleby to beat Zach Johnson -106 @ Five Dimes WON by 5 Johnson has been struggling all year - just one top-15 finish in 2008 and that was in March - and even though he is currently 3rd on the leaderboard, his game has hardly improved - he ranks 46th in greens in regulation so far this week. Unlike Stricker who has been playing well (e.g. 7th at Royal Birkdale), Johnson is much less likely to improve from tee-to-green today and his putter is much less likely to stay hot in those circumstances
Round 4 play (2pts):
Rory Sabbatini to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez +110 @ SkyBet LOST by 5 If this event were in Europe, this would not be a play, but Jimenez has entered the final round in the top-10 eight times in events in the U.S. and has yet to shoot lower than 71 on Sunday. Quite a different story with Sabbatini who has shot less than 70 in six of his last eight occasions (dating back to the the 2007 Masters) and in seven of them he finished in the top-3. With Jimenez never having finished in the top-25 here and Sabbatini 2nd twice in the last four years, there is further reason to back the South African