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11-4; +6.48pts
Round 1 plays (1pt):
Robert Allenby to beat Stuart Appleby -102 @ Five Dimes WON by 4 Camilo Villegas to beat Boo Weekley -120 @ Five Dimes WON by 1 Zach Johnson to beat Stuart Appleby -110 @ Bet365 WON by 4 Stewart Cink to beat Stuart Appleby -120 @ Carib WON by 7 Scott Verplank to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez -124 @ Pinnacle LOST by 6 Scott Verplank to beat Brandt Snedeker +100 @ Five Dimes WON by 3 Robert Allenby to beat Justin Rose -110 @ Bet365 WON by 1 Ernie Els to beat Adam Scott -125 @ Carib LOST by 7 Jim Furyk to beat Adam Scott -105 @ Bet365 LOST by 2 Stewart Cink to beat Adam Scott +107 @ Pinnacle WON by 1
Too many plays to provide reasons for!
Round 2 plays (1pt):
Trevor Immelman to beat Martin Kaymer -120 @ Bet365 TIED Mark Calcavecchia to beat Martin Kaymer -130 @ Five Dimes WON by 3 It's a different story when Kaymer leads after one round, but when otherwise in the top-10, he has shot 73 or higher in five of six times occasions. With a poor record on American courses until now, he should revert to type today
Ernie Els to beat Geoff Ogilvy -110 @ WSEX [also available at Carib & Pinnacle] LOST by 8 Can never be too sure about Ernie's motivation these days, but Ogilvy's record when holding a 1st round lead is poor: he averages over 73 in the 2nd round, with no round less than 72 and he has never held onto the lead after the 2nd round
Round 3 plays (1pt):
Vijay Singh to beat Phil Mickelson +105 WSEX [also available at Carib & Pinnacle] WON by 7 It's been over 6 years since Lefty finished in the top-20 of a WGC strokeplay event and after a promising start on Thursday he is back down the leaderboard again, so I can't see him as favourite as Vijay who has a much better record in these and bounced back well yesterday
Jeev Milkha Singh to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez -101 @ Pinnacle [also available at Carib & WSEX] WON by 1 Big difference in form between these two as Jimenez's best finish of the year is 25th, while Singh has been a runner-up twice. Even in terms of their head-to-head record Singh dominates: 7-1-2 in the 3rd round over the last 12 months
Round 4 play (1pt):
Brendan Jones to beat Peter Hanson -135 @ Five Dimes WON by 6 Opposing Hanson who is not particularly motivated when well down the final round leaderboard. He has been at least 10 shots off the pace with one round to play 14 times since the start of the 2006 season and has never shot less than 71