Cadillac Championship

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7pts Charl Schwartzel v Dustin Johnson (evs) bwin

Schwartzel's consistency is very impressive with just 2 missed cuts on all tours since the beginning of 2011. His record in Florida is also strong with just 1 missed cut from 10 starts. Johnson is in good form but lacks Schwartzel's consistency, particularly in Florida where he has missed the cut in 50% of the tournaments he's played. At even money Schwartzel represents excellent value.

additional recommendation:

5.5pts Rickie Fowler v Jason Day (ladbrokes)

Fowler put in an impressive performance last week in the Honda where he had struggled in the past. With a top 10 finish on his Doral debut last year and windy conditions likely to suit, he should ge well. Jason Day in contrast has lost his way a little since a bright start in Qatar and his record in Florida is poor with just one top ten finish in 12 starts. A recent interview in which he mentions he's making changes to his practice routine and mental game may explain his recent dip in form.