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Staking will be based on a maximum potential loss of approx 12 Points if the result Makes Up at the worst possible result. Buy Bo Van Pelt on Spreadex's Outright Index at 12 for 0.5 Pts M/U 10, Loss 1 Pt I am not a great believer in course form at this track, I tend to place more emphasis on having stats that show you can play the course. When an event is set out as 6 (if you get that far) 18H shootouts then there is a certain amount of luck involved and you can easily lose playing well or win playing poorly. Van Pelt has the stats for this venue, in the course compatibility section of the event stats on Tour Tips he scores the 4th highest points. With two of those above costing double the price in this Index (Woods & McIlroy) you can see that maybe there is some value here. Buy Richard Sterne on Sporting Index's Top ROW Index at 21 for 0.4 Pts M/U 10, Loss 4.4 Pts With a total risk of 1 point on the Van Pelt bet there is room in the weekly risk to look for another bet. The initial plan was to back Sterne outright as his price is a bit of value as he is being written off in the R2 prices v Mahan. However, looking at the ROW index, there are only 5 players left with the scoring 50-30-20-10 so even if he lost today he may gain a share of 4th as all four of the others would have to win for him to M/U at 0. The exact opposite wouldn't surprise me as Oosthuizen, Fraser, Day and Clark all have tough matches today. |
