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1pt Phil Mickelson 34 1pt Gary Woodland 90 1pt Kevin Streelman 240 As we approach the off time we're again seeing the customary drift on several players in the outright market for no apparent reason and Mickelson and Streelman fall firmly into that category. Mickelson has close to a 10% career strike rate (6% in Florida), is a former champion at Doral in 1999 and was 3rd last year - more than enough reasons to think 34 is very generous indeed. Woodland's credentials aren't quite so clear cut but on closer scrutiny there are again reasons to like his chances at the price. Firstly he's won in Florida at this time of year - his maiden PGA Tour victory at Inninsbrook in March 2011. He produced a solid if unspectacular 29th a year later when making his debut at Doral but this was when right in the midst of swing changes under the guidance of Butch Harmon, changes that took time to embed, but which are bearing fruit. Since the Zurich Classic last April he's missed just one cut, has secured two runners-up finishes and has landed his second PGA Tour victory at the Reno-Tahoe in August. At 90 he looks a very good value wager. Streelman has a similar profile to Woodland insofar as he's another who has won in Florida at this time of year and is a much improved player in the last year or so. A runners-up finish in the Players and top-10's at Bay Hill confirm how comfortable he is in this part of the world and with a solid 15th place finish in 2011 when nothing like as confident a player as he is now, he's well worth support at hugely inflated odds. |