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18-Hole Match Picks - WGC

Tipster: Miles

Odds: 2-Balls

 

 

Odds: 3-Balls

Dell Match Play
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 Overall:  24-19  (+21.85)

 

Championship:

3:15 PM ET  Day -175 over Oosthuizen 4pts
Consolation:

3:00 PM ET  Bello +220 over McIlroy 1.5pts

I said it earlier, not even Rory is stopping Day this week. His play on and around the greens is magical. As for the consolation, Rory is a champion but he has to be disappointed. And his opponent is one to take advantage of that and apply pressure right from the start. Definitely worth a small play.

 

Final Four:


10:00 AM ET  Day -110 over McIlroy 6%
10:10 AM ET  Oosthuizen -180 over Bello 4%

Day is cruising and not even Rory can stop him this week. And I'll side with Oos' experience in this matchup. Bello played extremely well today and I expect some regression tomorrow. 

5Dimes

 

Elite 8:


1:40 PM ET  Day -175 over Koepka 4%
1:50 PM ET  Moore -135 over Bello 3%

Day is dominating and I expect it to continue. 
Bello won convincingly this morning but he was driving the ball very erratically. Whereas Moore is ballstriking beautifully. 

5 Dimes 

Elite 8:

1:30 PM ET  Kirk +190 over McIlroy 2pts

Kirk is playing flawlessly and Rory isn't sharp at all. 

5 Dimes 

Sweet Sixteen:

8:30 AM ET  Haas -145 over Kirk 4pts

8:50 AM ET  Kuchar -135 over Koepka 4pts

9:25 AM ET  Moore -130 over Kizzire 4pts

9:35 AM ET  D Johnson +105 over Reed 4pts

9:45 AM ET  Oosthuizen +145 over Spieth 3pts

All supported by strong trends. 

5Dimes

 

 RD 3:

11:20 AM ET  Scott -160 over Haas 3pts

11:30 AM ET  Wood -120 over Pieters 3pts

12:40 PM ET  Rose -130 over Kuchar 3pts

1:10 PM ET  Hoffman +100 over Lee 3pts

1:40 PM ET  Matsuyama -170 over Kisner 3pts

2:30 PM ET  Moore -155 over Westwood 3pts

2:40 PM ET  Watson -175 over Holmes 4pts

2:50 PM ET  Grillo -105 over Kizzire 3pts

3:00 PM ET  Mickelson -105 over Reed 4pts

All supported by strong day 3 trends.  No more plays today, this is it.  Let's have a great day!!

5Dimes

 

RD 2:

1:30 PM ET  Pieters +130 over Haas 2pts
1:40 PM ET  Kaymer +155 over Z Johnson 2pts
2:00 PM ET  McIlroy -230 over Kaufman 3pts
2:10 PM ET  Olesen +165 over Na 3pts
2:30 PM ET  van Zyl +155 over Koepka 2pts
2:40 PM ET  Rose -190 over Lahiri 4pts
3:00 PM ET  Snedeker -140 over Lee 4pts
3:40 PM ET  Matsuyama -175 over Kjeldsen 3pts
3:50 PM ET  Bello +120 over Kisner 3pts
4:00 PM ET  Fowler -210 over Piercy 3pts
4:10 PM ET  An -105 over Dufner 3pts

The big faves listed are listed the only ones on the card that are fairly priced and I like all three to win comfortably.  The dogs all have tons of value. 

5Dimes

 

RD 2:

11:00 AM ET  Moore +135 over Garcia 3pts

11:40 AM ET  Fitzpatrick +168 over Reed 3pts

11:50 AM ET  Mickelson -185 over Berger 4pts

12:10 PM ET  Walker -125 over Streb 5pts

1:00 PM ET  Lingmerth +145 over Grace 3pts

Day 2 is about narrowing down the big faves and fading the ones that are grossly overpriced.  There will be a second wave of plays around 12:30 PM ET. 

5Dimes

 

RD 1:

2:20 PM ET  Kirk +120 over Grace 3pts

2:40 PM ET  Scott -205 over Pieters 2pts

3:30 PM ET  Kaufman +100 over Na 3pts

4:00 PM ET  Rose -250 over Gomez 4pts

Same reasoning as earlier.  Let's have a great day!!

5Dimes

 

RD 1:

11:30 AM ET  Casey -185 over Jaidee 3pts

11:50 AM ET  Kisner -150 over Kjeldsen 4pts

12:10 PM ET  An -135 over Piercy 5pts

12:40 PM ET  Watson -180 over Kizzire 4pts

12:50 PM ET  Grillo +105 over Holmes 4pts

1:00 PM ET  Berger +145 over Reed 3pts

1:10 PM ET  Phil -155 over Fitzpatrick 4pts

1:40 PM ET  Oosthuizen -150 over Jones 4pts

There are three main areas I look for in day 1 of this event each year. All-Around, GiR, and Total Accuracy. The above plays are all supported by strong day 1 trends. More plays will be up around 1:30 if I like what I'm seeing. 

5Dimes