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Betfair Picks - WGC Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair

 
 
HSBC Champions
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10-4; +10.45pts
 
The tipping notation is: BACK/LAY, followed by the price, followed in paratheses by the max/min price at which to BACK/LAY, respectively, followed by the BACK 'to win' and LAY 'liability' points at the stated prices, which is the number of ticks between the available price and the max/min price, up to a maximum of 10pts.

For the in-running tips ... any tip posted before rd3 or rd4 is in addition to those already posted in the event at 'BACK to win' or LAY liabilities that cumulatively sum a maximum of 10pts. For example, if a pre-tournament tip is LAY at 5pts liability and is followed by a pre-rd3 tip at LAY at 9pts liability, the pre-rd3 bet should be laid at 5pts (i.e. a maximum liability of 10pts) if the pre-tournament tip was laid and laid at 9pts if no previously liability had been taken on that player.
 

Dustin Johnson  30th
Pre-tournament
LAY 9.0 (13.0) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
No play
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Brooks Koepka  16th
Pre-tournament
LAY 11.0 (17.5) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
No play
Pre-rd4
No play
 
Rory McIlroy  54th
Pre-tournament
LAY 13.5 (18.0) [9pts]
Pre-rd3
No play
Pre-rd4
No play 
   
Justin Rose  3rd
Pre-tournament
BACK 15.0 (14.0) [2pts]
Pre-rd3
No play
Pre-rd4
BACK 5.4 (4.3) [10pts] 
 
Jason Day  11th
Pre-tournament
LAY 19.0 (23) [5pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 90 (60) [6pts]
Pre-rd4
LAY 110 (130) [2pts] 
 
Hideki Matsuyama  30th
Pre-tournament
No play
Pre-rd3
LAY 160 (210) [5pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Jon Rahm  22nd
Pre-tournament
No play
Pre-rd3
No play 
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Tommy Fleetwood  7th
Pre-tournament
No play
Pre-rd3
LAY 7.4 (8.6) [6pts] 
 
Tony Finau  2nd
Pre-tournament
LAY 32 (36) [2pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 3.05 (2.95) [3pts]
Pre-rd4
BACK 24 (20) [4pts] * posted in error - this are Fleetwood's BACK odds - the play was LAY 2.04 (2.22) [9pts] *
 
Francesco Molinari  43rd
Pre-tournament
LAY 36 (38) [1pt]
Pre-rd3
No play
Pre-rd4
No play 
 


TIPS, ODDS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided within a few hours of the market going in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.


Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.