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Matchup Picks - Asian PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

FINAL RESULT: 1-5-0; -5.76pts

Dredge/Broadhurst LOST by 4
Lafeber/Derksen LOST by 2
Dodd/Hansen LOST by 9
Poulter/Howell LOST by 14
Marksaeng/Wiratchant LOST by 5
Schwartzel/Wiratchant WON by 5

Always struggling with these plays. Not by as much as in the final result, but was always looking at a loss.

 

Hong Kong Open

Matchup plays (1pt unless stated):

Bradley Dredge to beat Paul Broadhurst -115 @ Centrebet
Just enough in Dredge's favour in this match. He has slightly the better form, finishing ahead of Broadhurst last week, and he has finished ahead of him in all three of their common events in Asia.

Maarten Lafeber to beat Robert-Jan Derksen -120 @ William Hill and Easybets
Lafeber has a decent record in Asia with three top-5 finishes in the last four seasons and he does have course experience with a top-25 finish last year, whereas Derksen has yet to play in Hong Kong. This should be a repeat of last week's win for Lafeber over his countryman.
(also available at Five Dimes)

Stephen Dodd to beat Soren Hansen -111 @ Centrebet
There may be a negative reaction to winning last week, but if not, this should be another good week for Dodd. He has finished in the top-15 in this event in each of the last two years, ahead of Hansen in their last six common events and he has finished behind Hansen only once in their last eight common events in Asia.

Ian Poulter to beat David Howell -110 @ SkyBet and Stan James
Howell may be a more consistent player, but Poulter is still the better one. He comes fresh off a victory in the Volvo Masters and should match his top-10 finish in the Johnnie Walker Classic in Thailand earlier this year. Howell finished 25th in that event, which is his best-ever finish in Asia.
(also available at Paddy Power and Olympic)

Prayad Marksaeng to beat Thaworn Wiratchant -110 @ SkyBet [2pts]
Just feel that Wiratchant is overpriced following his 3rd place finish last week. It was the first time since February that he had finished ahead of Marksaeng and given that Wiratchant has missed the cut in this event in each of the last two years, I'm not expecting another high finish. Marksaeng has a particularly good record in these co-sanctioned events and finished 7th last year. He should not be too far from that mark this time around.

Charl Schwartzel to beat Thaworn Wiratchant -115 @ Five Dimes
Short of confidence, Schwartzel returned to South Africa after the end of his European Tour season and secured two top-10 finishes on the Sunshine Tour. It appears to have restored his confidence as he finished 3rd in Japan last week. Now he returns to a course on which he played in 2002 (when he finished ahead of Wiratchant) and could event be a contender. Even if not, he should beat Wiratchant as he has done in all of their previous six common events.
(also available at BlueSq)