Tipster:
Andy
New Zealand PGA Championship
Round One Trades
Sell Peter Senior over Scott
Gutchewski 18H MB at 0 with
Sporting Index for 0.75 pts.
(M/U 0, Profit 0 pts)
Gutchewski had a Top 5 finish last week
and is clearly in a bit of form. He is off of the Nationwide tour in the
States and this is, like last week, a
co-sanctioned event with that tour. In 2003 he had 3 Top 10 finishes
from
September onwards. He missed the cut on
the main tour in the AT & T at the start of the year but has shown
a bit of current form with last weeks'
5th. Senior meanwhile is losing a bit of form that he had in
Dec/January.
He was
35th last week after
missing the cut in the ANZ the week before. Prior to that he had 5 top
20's in a row.
We suggest getting with the up and coming American here off a handicap
free start.
Round Two Trades
Sell Peter Senior over Scott
Gutchewski 18H MB at 0 with
Sporting Index for 0.75 pts.
(M/U 22, Profit -16.5pts)
It was fair at 0 yesterday so is
fair again today for all the same reasons. Gutchewski was one up on the
last but bogeyed it so unfortunately we made no gain on the first day's
bet. He is fancied today though to finish ahead.
Round Three Trades
Sell Stuart Bouvier over Doug
Labelle 18H MB at 1.5ch with
Sporting Index for 0.75 pts. (M/U -16, Profit
10.88 pts)
Labelle should possibly be a clear
favourite here. Bouvier, bar a 15th in the NZ Open, has a very poor
record in recent times. 9 missed cuts since the start of 2002 in 16
starts, and a 2nd best position of 28th, he has done well to
reach the weekend this week. Labelle is an average Nationwide tour
player who has had 5 Top 25's in the last year and had a respectable
23rd place in last weeks Jacob's Creek Open.
Buy Ryuji Imada over Dean Alaban
18H MB at 1.5ch with
Sporting Index for 0.75 pts. (M/U -16, Profit
-13.12 pts.)
Imada has been on a poor run
recently, MC in his last two events, it is a far cry from 6 Top 25's in
a row on the Nationwide tour in the autumn. The fact he has made this
weekend means that he has certainly picked up some form compared to the
last two weeks. Alaban plays the local Australasian tour and the
Asian PGA and a 9th and 20th place are the best finishes which are
mixed in with a lot of finishes down the field and a above average % of
MC's. Imada should be clear favourite in a similar way to Labelle in the
other match.
Round Four Trades
Sell Barry Cheesman over Paul
Claxton
18H MB at 2 with
Sporting Index for 0.75 pts. (M/U 25, Profit
-17.25pts)
Going with Claxton here at the
price offered. Cheesman MC last week in the Jacob's but has turned his
game around this week to contend. However the last three times he has
been in contention he has failed to break 70 and not made any impression
at the top end of the leaderboard. Claxton has been a fair form without
shooting the lights out. When has been in contention though he has
tended to shoot lower in R4 so his R4 stats do seem to be a bit more
reliable than Cheesman's.
Summary
-36pts on this tour and with the
European Tour heading towards Europe i will be glad to see the back of
these co-sanctioned events this year. Normally these are good betting
tours as there is less known about some of the players but the results
just haven't worked out this year.
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