Matchup Picks - Japan Tour
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Dunlop Phoenix Tournament
FINAL RESULT: 7-1-0; +9.00pts
Taniguchi/Allenby WON by 1
Bjorn/Allenby WON by 2
Bjorn/Cink WON by 11
Katayama/Cink WON by 6
Hamilton/Cejka WON by 1
Parry/Cejka WON by 10
Parry/Franco WON by 3
Conran/Kawagishi LOST by 3
This is why I prefer 72-hole match betting over 18-holers! These look
set for a loss in each of the three days and especially before the
weekend, but in 72-hole match betting there is time for the cream to
rise to the top and they did this weekend. Rather fortunate to win all
the close matches, but I would never have thought that 4th place for
Conran would still not be enough for him to win his match.
72-hole plays (1pt unless stated):
Toru Taniguchi to beat Robert Allenby -105 @
Five
Dimes and
Pinnacle
[2pts]
Don't necessarily think that Allenby will play poorly this week, rather
that he has no course experience and his only venture onto the Japan
Tour resulted in him finishing 36th in last year's Taiheiyo Masters.
This should be no more than a warm-up event for Allenby before the much
more-important Australian Open next week. Should be a win for the
dependable Taniguchi on his home Tour.
Thomas Bjorn to beat Robert Allenby -105 @
Centrebet
[2pts]
With 2nd in the American Express Championship, when he finished 23 shots
aheadof Allenby, and 11th in the Volvo Masters last month, Bjorn is
slowly reclaiming some of the form that has seen him win this title on
two occasions (1999 and 2003). With such a record on this course, Bjorn
should be the more-motivated.
(also available at Paddy Power)
Thomas Bjorn to beat Stewart Cink +130 @
Pinnacle
Similar story here with Bjorn finishing 13 shots aheadof Cink when they
last met (American Express Championship) and the American having never
played in Japan. That certainly levels the playing field and makes these
odds rather surprising. SkyBet make Bjorn the favourite in this match!
(also available at Skybet, Expekt and Bet365)
Shingo Katayama to beat Stewart Cink -104 @
Five
Dimes
So a similar theme here. A very dependable player on Japanese soil armed
with good odds against a player who has no experience in the region and
whose motives for playing are questionable (i.e. money-related) relative
to representing his country in the World Cup.
Todd Hamilton to beat Alex Cejka +105 @
Pinnacle
[2pts]
Cejka is another who has turned his back on representing his country to
chase the yen. He has not played in Japan since the 1999 Casio World
Open when he finished 41st and so with no course experience he should
hardly be the favourite against a player who has lots of experience on
this Tour. Hamilton may not have had a great record on this course, but
he has made two important steps up the ladder of world golf this year
with victories in Florida and Scotland and this will be his first event
back in Japan since those victories. He should get a very warm welcome
and raise his game still further.
(also available at Centrebet and Paddy Power)
Craig Parry to beat Alex Cejka -105 @
Five
Dimes [2pts]
With a 7-4-1 h2h record against Cejka in 2004 and lots of experience in
Japan, including a top-10 finish here last year, Parry should warm up
for his national Open with a good performance this week. He should have
a decisive advantage over Cejka in Japan.
Craig Parry to beat Carlos Franco +110 @
Pinnacle
Will take these odds for a small play against Franco as well. He has not
played in Japan in the last five years and the last time he played on
this course was back in 1997. Such 'home' advantage for Parry tips this
matchup decisively in his favour.
(also available at Paddy Power)
Steven Conran to beat Ryoken Kawagishi -125 @
Paddy Power
[2pts]
Both players in good form, but easier to back the player who has a
12-4-0 h2h lead over his opponent in the seven months.
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