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Women's British Open
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Se Ri Pak to win 12/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Surprisingly large odds for a former winner of this event (2001). That
may have been on the parkland course of Sunningdale, but she finished
11th in her title defence last year at Turnberry and is generally 2nd or
3rd in the market with Inkster behind Sorenstam. She has been in good
form this year, winning twice, and shot 66-69 in the last two rounds of
the Evian Masters to finish 6th. She should be at single-figure odds.
Grace Park to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetDirect
The second Korean selection has been in even better form recently.
Before the Evian Masters, she had finished in the top-3 in four of her
previous six events and had won once in May as well. She may have had a
slow start in last week's event, but she matched Pak over the last two
rounds to show her form is still intact. Only a final round 80 ruined a
decent finish at Turnberry last year so she does have respectable links
experience.
Meg Mallon to win 50/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
and
Stan James
There are certainly no question marks over Mallon's links experience. In
her two Women's British Opens played on links courses, she has finished
2nd (2000, Royal Birkdale) and 8th (2002, Turnberry). She is also rested
having skipped the Evian Masters and comes into the event on the back of
a 2nd place finish in the Big Apple Classic two weeks ago. If she can
repeat that form, she should certainly earn another top-10 in this
event.
Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Lorie Kane to beat Laura Davies +100 @
Paddy Power
Expecting a Davies to be part of the commentary team over the weekend!
She has been struggling with her game for several months and faded badly
last week after a decent start. In her three Women's British Opens on
links courses, she has missed the cut twice and finished 37th in the
other. Kane played in two of those Opens and finished ahead of her on
both occasions and is in far better form at the moment.
Meg Mallon to beat Laura Davies -111 @
William Hill
Straightforward to also oppose her with one of the outright
selections.
Patricia Meunier-Lebouc to beat Laura Davies -125 @
Expekt
Meunier-Lebouc's 24th place finish at Turnberry was her best finish in
this event on a links course and she should improve that mark this week.
She has finished in the top-20 in ten of her last twelve events and in
that stretch she leads Davies 9-2-0 h2h.
Patricia Meunier-Lebouc to beat Laura Diaz -111 @
William Hill
Diaz does a good history in this event, but that is mainly on the
parkland courses where she finished 3rd in 2001 at Sunningdale and 14th
in 1999 at Woburn. She did finish 6th at Royal Birkdale in 2000, but
missed the cut at Turnberry last year and was 47th on this course in
1998. When she has finished ahead of Meunier-Lebouc once in their last
twelve common events, she should be the underdog.
Rachel Teske to beat Laura Diaz -118 @
Expekt
Similar story with this matchup. Teske has finished in the top-20 in the
last two Women's British Opens played on links courses and is in the
better current form. Diaz has failed to finish ahead of Teske in any of
their last five common events.
Lorie Kane to beat Mi-Hyun Kim +100 @ Five
Dimes
Simply opposing Kim who has failed to finish in the top-20 in any of her
last seven events and struggled on her links debut last year. She
followed up a runners-up spot at Sunningdale with 61st position at
Turnberry.
Cristie Kerr to beat Hilary Lunke -200 @
NordicBet [4.5 units]
Not very attractive odds, but it is hard to ignore a 11-1-0 h2h record
for the current season. Lunke's sole win was a famous one, but with a
missed cut and a finish of 64th (of 78), there is obviously still quite
a hangover.
Jenny Rosales to beat Mhairi McKay -111 @ Ladbrokes
McKay is another who could be forgiven a U.S. Women's Open hangover. She
also missed the cut in Canada the following week and was only 47th last
week in the Evian Masters. Rosales finished 4th at Turnberry last year
and leads McKay 10-2-0 h2h on the LPGA Tour this season.
No 1st round plays.
2nd round plays (3 units):
Helen Alfredsson to beat Heather Bowie -115 @ Five
Dimes
Soo-Yun Kang to beat Paula Marti -125 @ Five
Dimes
2nd round update: 0-2-0; -7.20 units
Alfredsson/Bowie LOST by 9
Kang/Marti LOST by 5
Mid-point update:
Kane/Davies Leads by 2
Mallon/Davies Leads by 2
Meunier-Lebouc/Davies Leads by 6
Meunier-Lebouc/Diaz Leads by 8
Teske/Diaz All Square
Kane/Kim WON by 5
Kerr/Lunke WON by 7
Rosales/McKay WON by 10
Pak 2nd
Park 4th
Mallon 19th
Promising position at the cut in both the matchups and
the outrights. Disappointing day with the 18-hole plays, but looks as
though they will at least be covered by the rest.
3rd round plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Meg Mallon to beat Sophie Gustafson -125 @ Five
Dimes
Jenny Rosales to beat Akiko Fukushima -127 @ Five
Dimes [3 units]
Emilee Klein to beat Karen Stupples -107 @ Five
Dimes [3 units]
3rd round update: 1-1-1; -0.21 units
Mallon/Gustafson TIED (Push)
Rosales/Fukushima WON by 3
Klein/Stupples LOST by 4
4th round plays (1.5 units):
Kelli Kuehne to beat Paula Marti -118 @ Five
Dimes
Lorena Ochoa to beat Rachel Teske -122 @ Five
Dimes
Angela Stanford to beat Dottie Pepper -133 @ Five
Dimes
4th round update: 1-2-0; -2.27 units
Kuehne/Marti LOST by 7
Ochoa/Teske WON by 3
Stanford/Pepper LOST by 12
Final update:
Matchups: 5-3-0; +5.56 units
Kane/Davies TIED (Lost)
Mallon/Davies LOST by 3
Meunier-Lebouc/Davies WON by 7
Meunier-Lebouc/Diaz WON by 6
Teske/Diaz LOST by 6
18-holes: 2-5-1; -9.68 units
Outrights: 2-1; +4.05 units
Pak 2nd
Park 3rd
Mallon 37th
Frustrating final day! For the second day in a row, Pak
held the lead over the final holes and faltered. Tied with Annika, she
drove into the bunker on the final hole and it cost her a bogey and a
playoff. In the 18-hole plays, the three selections averaged over 80!
And in the matchups, all five remaining plays had been leading after 54
holes, but only two were left standing after 72. Fortunately, Park
earned a top-5 place win and what had been looking like a great event,
turned out to be merely break-even.
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