Evian Masters
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Juli Inkster to win 25/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Large price for an in-form player. She has finished in the top-10 in six
of her last seven starts, including a win at the LPGA Corning Classic,
and this is a course on which the LPGA players have played well in the
past. Inkster has not performed that well on her two previous visits,
but it is hard to see her outside the top-10 in this form.
Rosie Jones to win 33/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Jones missed the Big Apple Classic last week for only the 3rd time since
1990, presumably a result of the scheduling change for this event as she
has an excellent record at Wykagyl. Like Inkster, her previous finishes
on this course have been fair and it is her current form that makes this
price look big: five top-10 finishes in her last six starts, including a
win at the Asahi Ryokuken International. Having prepared well for this
and next week's event, she should have her best finish yet on this
course.
Grace Park to win 33/1 e.w. @
William Hill
Park was elected as the Evian Masters Ambassador in 2001 and looks a
strong candidate to earn a different title this week. She did play last
week in New York, but she recorded her fourth top-3 finish in six starts
to keep her impressive run of form intact. Her course form is better
than that of Inkster and Jones and fatigue is the only concern over Park
recording at least another very high finish.
Michele Redman to win 50/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Adding a fourth outright selection again. Redman was one of the players
that Park overtook at the end of last week's event resulting in her
finishing outside the places. But in good form and having secured top-10
finishes in two of three visits, this looks a large price. Again,
fatigue is the main concern.
Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Lorie Kane to beat Laura Davies -110 @ SkyBet
[3 units]
Opposing Davies who has failed to find her early season form in the past
few months apart from one week in the Ladies Irish Open and has failed
to match her early form in this event in recent years - she won this
event in 1995 and 1996. Kane has had two top-3 finishes in her last four
starts and is in far better form.
Catriona Matthew to beat Laura Davies +107 @ Five
Dimes
Same with the very consistent Matthew. Davies has failed to finish ahead
of her in their last six common events and with that record and with at
least a comparable recent course history, these odds are rather
generous.
Catriona Matthew to beat Janice Moodie -110 @ SkyBet
Moodie's form has improved recently. She has made two of her last three
cuts, including a top-10 finish last time out, but she had missed her
previous three cuts. Her course form is also patchy - a top-5 finish and
two poor results - so an easy side with Matthew.
Janice Moodie to beat Iben Tinning -118 @
Expekt
Siding with Moodie against Tinning though whose course form is extremely
poor. In a 78-player event, she has a best finish of 35th in four
attempts. She may have been very consistent on the Ladies European Tour
this year, but a best finish of 5th is not particularly impressive for
the Solheim Cup player. Moodie is slowly gaining form and is far more
likely to finish in the top-half of the leaderboard.
Lorie Kane to beat Hee-Won Han +103 @ Five
Dimes
This will be Han's fourth straight week of 72-hole events and if that
were not tiring enough, she won the Big Apple Classic on Sunday and will
now tee it up across the Atlantic in an event that starts a day early.
Han finished behind Kane on her debut last year and could be forgiven a
slow start this week.
Cristie Kerr to beat Maria Hjorth -118 @
Expekt
[4.5 units]
Hjorth may never have won this event, but few can match her three 2nd
place finishes in this event in the past five years. Few, however, would
want to match her current form though. She has missed seven of her last
ten cuts and will surely find it very hard to continue her form in this
event. Kerr is not at her best at the moment, but she is making cuts and
being competitive and finished 25th on her previous appearance in 2001.
Carin Koch to beat Maria Hjorth -115 @ Five
Dimes
Will also side with Koch against Hjorth as she does have a decent course
history and has played reasonably well since returning to competitive
golf. She finished 4th in the Open de France last month and finished
ahead of Hjorth in their two common events since then.
Rosie Jones to beat Patricia Meunier-Lebouc -115 @ Five
Dimes
Adding two more plays on Jones as her extremely consistent golf makes
her a profitable player to follow for matchups. She has finished ahead
of Meunier-Lebouc in five of their last six common events and only
thought that Meunier-Lebouc's home field advantage will counter this is
refuted by her course history.
Rosie Jones to beat Lorena Ochoa -110 @ SkyBet
Ochoa has no course history and that will surely be a disadvantage and
with Jones finishing ahead of the Mexican in each of their last four
common events, she should have the better week this week.
No 1st round plays.
2nd round plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Se Ri Pak to beat Juli Inkster -138 @ Five
Dimes [3 units]
Laura Davies to beat Jeong Jang -115 @ Five
Dimes
Leta Lindley to beat Samantha Head -135 @ Five
Dimes [4.5 units]
Kelly Robbins to beat Wendy Ward -130 @ Five
Dimes
Suzann Pettersen to beat Candie Kung -108 @ Five
Dimes
2nd round update: 1-3-1; -0.80 units
Pak/Inkster TIED (Push)
Davies/Jang LOST by 5
Lindley/Head WON by 1
Robbins/Ward LOST by 5
Pettersen/Kung LOST by 1
3rd round plays (3 units):
Lorena Ochoa to beat Hee-Won Han -118 @ Five
Dimes
Juli Inkster to beat Karrie Webb -115 @ Five
Dimes
Dorothy Delasin to beat Maria Hjorth -110 @ Five
Dimes
3rd round update: 1-2-0; -3.84 units
Ochoa/Han LOST by 6
Inkster/Webb WON by 4
Delasin/Hjorth LOST by 2
4th round plays (1.5 units):
Cristie Kerr to beat Natalie Gulbis -128 @ Five
Dimes
Helen Alfredsson to beat Betsy King -130 @ Five
Dimes
4th round update: 2-0-0; +3.00 units
Kerr/Gulbis WON by 4
Alfredsson/King WON by 1
Final update:
Matchups: 6-3-0; +8.81 units
Kane/Davies WON by 13
Matthew/Davies WON by 1
Matthew/Moodie LOST by 9
Moodie/Tinning WON by 6
Kane/Han LOST by 6
Kerr/Hjorth WON by 15
Koch/Hjorth WON by 13
Jones/Meunier-Lebouc WON by 7
Jones/Ochoa TIED (Lost)
18-holes: 4-5-1; -1.64 units
Outrights: 2-2; +25.88 units
Inkster 1st
Jones 3rd
Park 17th
Redman 7th
Occupied the top-two places for virtually the whole
tournament, so extremely glad one of them stayed there until the end!
Inkster had been tied for the overnight lead with Jones, but shot 65 to
win the event by six shots and become the first American to win this
event. Very impressive performance! Redman almost made it three players
in the places - she finished two shots short - and the matchups were
very profitable as well even though Ochoa's birdie-birdie finish meant
that she tied with Jones which means a losing wager at SkyBet. Still a
great result!
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