Dunhill Championship

Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):

Brian Davis to beat Robert Karlsson +110 @ BetandWin [3 units]
Karlsson shot 76-76 last week to miss the cut by quite a distance and having missed the cut in his only other start in this event (1997), he looks one to oppose.

Maarten Lafeber to beat Robert Karlsson -125 @ Expekt
Opposing Karlsson again and this time with a player who simply does not miss cuts. His last weekend free was back July at the European Open.

Paul McGinley to beat Robert Karlsson -122 @ Pinnacle [3 units]
McGinley does miss cuts but not in South Africa. He has an excellent record in this country and on this course. He did not play last year, but from 2000 to 2002 he finished 5th, 16th, 5th. A fine 27th place finish last week after an opening 76 will have blown the cobwebs off his game and another top-20 finish looks in order.

Paul McGinley to beat Louis Oosthiuzen -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds [2 units]
Solid, but unspectaular form in South Africa from the young Oosthuizen. Just can't see it being enough against a player with proven ability on this track.

Paul McGinley to beat Charl Schwartzel -110 @ Bet365
Schwartzel has struggled since his 3rd place finish in last year's South African Open and he finished behind McGinley last week. Having missed the cut last year, there seems little reason to expect another big week from the young South African.

Bradley Dredge to beat Jean Hugo -111 @ BetandWin [2 units]
Hugo may have on this match by a single shot last week, but it should be different this week. They have both played this course in each of the last four years and Dredge has won every time. Plus Hugo has missed the cut in each of his last six European Tour events, including Q-School.

Alastair Forsyth to beat Mark Foster -111 @ BetandWin [2 units]
Foster had made the cut in less than a quarter of his European Tour starts when he won this event via a six-man playoff last year and while it changed his career, he hasn't improved his 'cuts made ratio' very much. While he was missing the cut last week, Forsyth was finishing 2nd and that shows the gulf between these two players despite what has happened at Houghton in the past.

Trevor Immelman to beat Steve Webster -143 @ BetandWin
Webster did finish 2nd last week, but he still behind Immelman and the English player is hardly noted for his consistency. In his last eight Tour events, he has a 2nd place finish, two further top-20 finishes and five missed cuts. Immelman does not show such inconsistency in his home country and should win this with ease.

Hennie Otto to beat Carlos Rodiles -111 @ BetandWin
With Rodiles having only ever played once in South Africa (45th last week and well behind Otto) and never on this course, he looks easily opposable, particularly with an outright selection.

Final update: 7-2-0; +7.88 units

Davis/Karlsson WON by 6
Lafeber/Karlsson WON by 9
McGinley/Karlsson WON by 2
McGinley/Oosthuizen LOST by 1
McGinley/Schwartzel WON by 2
Dredge/Hugo WON by 9
Forsyth/Foster LOST by 5
Immelman/Webster WON by 4
Otto/Rodiles WON by 9

Another profitable week of matchups to compensate for some poor outright plays. All nine plays had been ahead after 18 holes, but poor 2nd rounds for McGinley and Forsyth denied the sweep at the cut.